Israel's commanding 35.5% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 televote winner reflects traders' confidence in its powerhouse diaspora support across key voting blocs like France, the UK, and Australia, building on Eden Golan's runner-up televote finish in 2024 amid controversy. Greece at 19.5% gains from Marina Satti's strong 2024 public showing and regional Balkan momentum, while Finland's 15.5% stems from Käärijä's 2023 televote near-win and vibrant young fanbase. With national selections just ramping up—no entries confirmed yet—odds remain speculative, but early betting consensus favors these acts' cultural pull and streaming buzz over traditional powerhouses like Sweden (6.1%), ahead of finals in spring 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 36%
Greece 20%
Finland 16%
Sweden 5.9%
$745,852 Vol.
$745,852 Vol.

Israel
36%

Greece
20%

Finland
16%

Sweden
6%

France
4%

Poland
4%

Moldova
3%

Cyprus
3%

Denmark
3%

Ukraine
2%

Switzerland
2%

Luxembourg
2%

Estonia
1%

Italy
1%

Australia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Malta
1%

Croatia
1%

Belgium
1%

Romania
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Germany
1%

Norway
1%

Lithuania
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 36%
Greece 20%
Finland 16%
Sweden 5.9%
$745,852 Vol.
$745,852 Vol.

Israel
36%

Greece
20%

Finland
16%

Sweden
6%

France
4%

Poland
4%

Moldova
3%

Cyprus
3%

Denmark
3%

Ukraine
2%

Switzerland
2%

Luxembourg
2%

Estonia
1%

Italy
1%

Australia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Malta
1%

Croatia
1%

Belgium
1%

Romania
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Germany
1%

Norway
1%

Lithuania
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Latvia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's commanding 35.5% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 televote winner reflects traders' confidence in its powerhouse diaspora support across key voting blocs like France, the UK, and Australia, building on Eden Golan's runner-up televote finish in 2024 amid controversy. Greece at 19.5% gains from Marina Satti's strong 2024 public showing and regional Balkan momentum, while Finland's 15.5% stems from Käärijä's 2023 televote near-win and vibrant young fanbase. With national selections just ramping up—no entries confirmed yet—odds remain speculative, but early betting consensus favors these acts' cultural pull and streaming buzz over traditional powerhouses like Sweden (6.1%), ahead of finals in spring 2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions