Market icon

Vendas de álbuns da primeira semana do BTS 'Arirang'?

Market icon

Vendas de álbuns da primeira semana do BTS 'Arirang'?

<3m 98.7%

5,5m-6m <1%

4,5m-5m <1%

6 milhões+ <1%

Polymarket

$159,363 Vol.

<3m 98.7%

5,5m-6m <1%

4,5m-5m <1%

6 milhões+ <1%

Polymarket

$159,363 Vol.

<3m

$67,824 Vol.

99%

3m-3,5m

$45,802 Vol.

<1%

3,5m-4m

$0 Vol.

<1%

4M-4,5M

$0 Vol.

<1%

4,5m-5m

$0 Vol.

<1%

5m-5,5m

$0 Vol.

<1%

5,5m-6m

$0 Vol.

<1%

6 milhões+

$45,736 Vol.

<1%

BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs BTS's 'Arirang' first-week album sales falling under 3 million units (98.7% implied probability), reflecting the group's ongoing military enlistment hiatus that limits promotional firepower and full-scale comeback momentum. Without new original tracks or stadium tours, this special release—tied to Korean cultural heritage via the traditional folk song—lacks the explosive debut potential of past juggernauts like Map of the Soul: 7, which topped 4 million. Hanteo and Circle Chart early tracking shows modest pre-orders amid competition from K-pop rivals, underscoring tempered fan expectations. An upset to 3m+ would require viral TikTok surges, surprise collabs, or last-minute physical stock boosts before sales lock, though historical patterns for non-comeback projects make that a long shot. Next chart update looms as the key catalyst.

BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$159,363
Data de Término
Mar 20, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 3, 2026, 5:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs BTS's 'Arirang' first-week album sales falling under 3 million units (98.7% implied probability), reflecting the group's ongoing military enlistment hiatus that limits promotional firepower and full-scale comeback momentum. Without new original tracks or stadium tours, this special release—tied to Korean cultural heritage via the traditional folk song—lacks the explosive debut potential of past juggernauts like Map of the Soul: 7, which topped 4 million. Hanteo and Circle Chart early tracking shows modest pre-orders amid competition from K-pop rivals, underscoring tempered fan expectations. An upset to 3m+ would require viral TikTok surges, surprise collabs, or last-minute physical stock boosts before sales lock, though historical patterns for non-comeback projects make that a long shot. Next chart update looms as the key catalyst.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs BTS's 'Arirang' first-week album sales falling under 3 million units (98.7% implied probability), reflecting the group's ongoing military enlistment hiatus that limits promotional firepower and full-scale comeback momentum. Without new original tracks or stadium tours, this special release—tied to Korean cultural heritage via the traditional folk song—lacks the explosive debut potential of past juggernauts like Map of the Soul: 7, which topped 4 million. Hanteo and Circle Chart early tracking shows modest pre-orders amid competition from K-pop rivals, underscoring tempered fan expectations. An upset to 3m+ would require viral TikTok surges, surprise collabs, or last-minute physical stock boosts before sales lock, though historical patterns for non-comeback projects make that a long shot. Next chart update looms as the key catalyst.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vendas de álbuns da primeira semana do BTS 'Arirang'?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<3m" at 99%, followed by "3m-3,5m" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vendas de álbuns da primeira semana do BTS 'Arirang'?" has generated $159.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vendas de álbuns da primeira semana do BTS 'Arirang'?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vendas de álbuns da primeira semana do BTS 'Arirang'?" is "<3m" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3m-3,5m" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vendas de álbuns da primeira semana do BTS 'Arirang'?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.