Market icon

3rd largest company end of April?

Market icon

3rd largest company end of April?

abr 30

abr 30

Alphabet 72%

Apple 25%

NVIDIA 1.7%

Saudi Aramco <1%

Polymarket

$730,392 Vol.

Alphabet 72%

Apple 25%

NVIDIA 1.7%

Saudi Aramco <1%

Polymarket

$730,392 Vol.

Market icon

Alphabet

$11,653 Vol.

72%

Market icon

Apple

$23,726 Vol.

25%

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NVIDIA

$615,075 Vol.

2%

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Saudi Aramco

$33,033 Vol.

1%

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Microsoft

$6,885 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Amazon

$5,060 Vol.

<1%

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Oracle

$27,523 Vol.

<1%

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Tesla

$7,435 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 73.5% implied probability to Alphabet retaining its current third-largest market capitalization of $3.56 trillion by April 30, trailing NVIDIA ($4.31T) and Apple ($3.76T), due to stable mega-cap tech valuations amid ongoing AI infrastructure investments. Alphabet's modest daily gain of 0.15% over the past week mirrors peers, maintaining a consistent $199 billion gap to Apple while NVIDIA extends its lead following its late-March reclaim of the top spot. Apple's 24.5% odds reflect potential for Alphabet to surpass it on cloud revenue momentum and Q1 earnings due late April, while NVIDIA's 1.7% implies slim chances of both overtaking amid wide gaps; lower probabilities for Microsoft ($2.78T), Amazon ($2.25T), and Saudi Aramco ($1.78T) underscore insurmountable distances absent major catalysts.

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$730,392
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 73.5% implied probability to Alphabet retaining its current third-largest market capitalization of $3.56 trillion by April 30, trailing NVIDIA ($4.31T) and Apple ($3.76T), due to stable mega-cap tech valuations amid ongoing AI infrastructure investments. Alphabet's modest daily gain of 0.15% over the past week mirrors peers, maintaining a consistent $199 billion gap to Apple while NVIDIA extends its lead following its late-March reclaim of the top spot. Apple's 24.5% odds reflect potential for Alphabet to surpass it on cloud revenue momentum and Q1 earnings due late April, while NVIDIA's 1.7% implies slim chances of both overtaking amid wide gaps; lower probabilities for Microsoft ($2.78T), Amazon ($2.25T), and Saudi Aramco ($1.78T) underscore insurmountable distances absent major catalysts.

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$730,392
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"3rd largest company end of April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alphabet" at 72%, followed by "Apple" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3rd largest company end of April?" has generated $730.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3rd largest company end of April?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3rd largest company end of April?" is "Alphabet" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Apple" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3rd largest company end of April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.