AlfredTheShiller

Joined Jul 2024·1.4K views

Varta ❤️

$45.9K

Positions Value

$6,166.59

Biggest Win

1,374

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$45.8K
Total Volume: 4M

Profit/Loss

$179.59

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 50¢

19,000.0 shares

50¢

91¢

$17,280.50$7,780.50 (81.9%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 50¢

19,000.0 shares

$17,280.50$7,780.50 (81.9%)

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?

No 80.6¢

13,183.7 shares

80.6¢

93.5¢

$12,326.75$1,695.59 (15.95%)

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?

No 80.6¢

13,183.7 shares

$12,326.75$1,695.59 (15.95%)

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 53.6¢

7,341.8 shares

53.6¢

63.5¢

$4,662.06$728.66 (18.52%)

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 53.6¢

7,341.8 shares

$4,662.06$728.66 (18.52%)

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 10¢

10,000.0 shares

10¢

28.5¢

$2,850.00$1,850.00 (185%)

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 10¢

10,000.0 shares

$2,850.00$1,850.00 (185%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 50¢

19,000.0 shares

50¢

9¢

$1,719.50-$7,780.50 (-81.9%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 50¢

19,000.0 shares

$1,719.50-$7,780.50 (-81.9%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 69.2¢

2,500.0 shares

69.2¢

66.5¢

$1,662.48-$67.50 (-3.9%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 69.2¢

2,500.0 shares

$1,662.48-$67.50 (-3.9%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 45.1¢

7,000.0 shares

45.1¢

16.5¢

$1,155.00-$2,004.99 (-63.45%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 45.1¢

7,000.0 shares

$1,155.00-$2,004.99 (-63.45%)

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?

No 83.6¢

1,002.1 shares

83.6¢

98.7¢

$989.06$151.70 (18.12%)

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?

No 83.6¢

1,002.1 shares

$989.06$151.70 (18.12%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 50.5¢

1,000.0 shares

50.5¢

91.5¢

$915.00$410.00 (81.19%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 50.5¢

1,000.0 shares

$915.00$410.00 (81.19%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 62.2¢

1,000.0 shares

62.2¢

87.9¢

$879.49$257.50 (41.4%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 62.2¢

1,000.0 shares

$879.49$257.50 (41.4%)

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Yes 28.9¢

2,000.0 shares

28.9¢

21¢

$420.00-$158.79 (-27.44%)

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Yes 28.9¢

2,000.0 shares

$420.00-$158.79 (-27.44%)

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 17.9¢

2,000.0 shares

17.9¢

19¢

$380.00$22.25 (6.22%)

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 17.9¢

2,000.0 shares

$380.00$22.25 (6.22%)

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11.5¢

10,015.2 shares

11.5¢

2.9¢

$295.45-$855.30 (-74.33%)

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11.5¢

10,015.2 shares

$295.45-$855.30 (-74.33%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 47¢

3,000.4 shares

47¢

4.5¢

$133.52-$1,276.83 (-90.53%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 47¢

3,000.4 shares

$133.52-$1,276.83 (-90.53%)

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

Yes 21.2¢

2,016.7 shares

21.2¢

6.5¢

$130.08-$298.27 (-69.63%)

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

Yes 21.2¢

2,016.7 shares

$130.08-$298.27 (-69.63%)

Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 5¢

2,000.0 shares

5¢

2.9¢

$59.00-$41.00 (-41%)

Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 5¢

2,000.0 shares

$59.00-$41.00 (-41%)

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 4.3¢

3,333.0 shares

4.3¢

0.8¢

$26.66-$116.65 (-81.4%)

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 4.3¢

3,333.0 shares

$26.66-$116.65 (-81.4%)

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Yes 20¢

500.0 shares

20¢

5.1¢

$25.25-$74.76 (-74.75%)

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Yes 20¢

500.0 shares

$25.25-$74.76 (-74.75%)

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Yes 3¢

147.4 shares

3¢

9¢

$13.26$8.84 (200%)

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Yes 3¢

147.4 shares

$13.26$8.84 (200%)

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Yes 8¢

200.0 shares

8¢

3.3¢

$6.50-$9.50 (-59.38%)

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Yes 8¢

200.0 shares

$6.50-$9.50 (-59.38%)