Profit/Loss
Past Day

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
45.3¢
71¢

Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
71.8¢
91.9¢

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
80.2¢
81.5¢

Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
88.5¢
94.5¢

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
89¢
95.5¢

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
20.3¢
17¢

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?
90.5¢
96¢

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
69.4¢
97.8¢

Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
85.5¢
96.1¢

Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
67.6¢
90.5¢

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
56.7¢
82¢

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
75.5¢
87.5¢

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
82.2¢
94.9¢

Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
41.2¢
83.5¢

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?

Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
60.7¢
90.5¢

Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?
78.1¢
84.5¢

Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
53.4¢
72.5¢

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?
39.7¢
45.7¢

Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?
