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Arbguy

Joined Jul 2024·13.5K views

betmoar-88600

$279.2K

Positions Value

$200.6K

Biggest Win

870

Predictions

Profit/Loss

$11,623.00
Polymarket

Past Day

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 31.7¢
162,302.7 shares
$54,371.40$2,865.13 (5.56%)
icon for US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 37.5¢
112,532.0 shares
$32,060.36-$10,148.02 (-24.04%)
icon for Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 48.2¢
57,485.7 shares
$30,179.98$2,476.94 (8.94%)
icon for Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 11.5¢
470,573.9 shares
$25,881.56-$28,394.43 (-52.31%)
icon for Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.3¢
892,945.2 shares
$21,877.16$9,938.48 (83.25%)
icon for Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 82¢
23,507.1 shares
$18,923.20-$357.80 (-1.86%)
icon for Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7¢
1,616,696.8 shares
$12,125.23$1,387.13 (12.92%)
icon for Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 69.5¢
19,785.1 shares
$10,980.74-$2,775.22 (-20.17%)
icon for Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

No 65¢
15,200.0 shares
$10,562.48$682.48 (6.91%)
icon for US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 11¢
100,000.0 shares
$10,500.00-$500.00 (-4.55%)
icon for Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 85¢
10,034.0 shares
$8,077.39-$451.53 (-5.29%)
icon for Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 49.8¢
12,796.4 shares
$6,718.09$350.29 (5.5%)
icon for Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Yes 47.2¢
37,912.7 shares
$6,634.72-$11,258.17 (-62.92%)
icon for Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 96.1¢
5,714.5 shares
$5,511.68$20.00 (0.36%)
icon for Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Yes 5.5¢
111,709.2 shares
$4,848.18-$1,308.90 (-21.26%)
icon for Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes 17¢
8,517.6 shares
$1,490.58$42.59 (2.94%)
icon for Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 23.7¢
1,101.5 shares
$1,095.94$834.90 (319.83%)
icon for Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 8.9¢
12,155.0 shares
$808.31-$271.07 (-25.11%)
icon for Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Yes 28.5¢
13,284.8 shares
$345.40-$3,439.04 (-90.87%)