aviato

Joined Jul 2024·14.2K views

$202.1K

Positions Value

$27.9K

Biggest Win

3,356

Predictions

Total PnL: +$199.0K
Total Volume: 31.7M

Profit/Loss

$310.22

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

Yes 94.4¢

31,045.9 shares

94.4¢

99.8¢

$30,968.31$1,648.95 (5.62%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

Yes 94.4¢

31,045.9 shares

$30,968.31$1,648.95 (5.62%)

Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?

No 83.8¢

17,956.5 shares

83.8¢

92.1¢

$16,529.00$1,475.36 (9.8%)

Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?

No 83.8¢

17,956.5 shares

$16,529.00$1,475.36 (9.8%)

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

No 83.3¢

14,319.1 shares

83.3¢

94.6¢

$13,538.67$1,608.75 (13.48%)

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

No 83.3¢

14,319.1 shares

$13,538.67$1,608.75 (13.48%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 90.4¢

12,096.4 shares

90.4¢

96.5¢

$11,666.95$730.58 (6.68%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 90.4¢

12,096.4 shares

$11,666.95$730.58 (6.68%)

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

No 91.8¢

10,290.1 shares

91.8¢

98.8¢

$10,166.66$721.54 (7.64%)

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

No 91.8¢

10,290.1 shares

$10,166.66$721.54 (7.64%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 84.5¢

11,000.0 shares

84.5¢

$9,295.00$5.03 (0.05%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 84.5¢

11,000.0 shares

$9,295.00$5.03 (0.05%)

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

No 85.5¢

9,715.4 shares

85.5¢

92.9¢

$9,025.58$714.71 (8.6%)

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

No 85.5¢

9,715.4 shares

$9,025.58$714.71 (8.6%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 91¢

7,643.3 shares

91¢

93.5¢

$7,146.52$191.09 (2.75%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 91¢

7,643.3 shares

$7,146.52$191.09 (2.75%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?

No 91.5¢

6,552.7 shares

91.5¢

93.5¢

$6,126.79$132.78 (2.22%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?

No 91.5¢

6,552.7 shares

$6,126.79$132.78 (2.22%)

Trump out as President by September 30?

No 98.8¢

6,000.0 shares

98.8¢

99.9¢

$5,993.99$63.01 (1.06%)

Trump out as President by September 30?

No 98.8¢

6,000.0 shares

$5,993.99$63.01 (1.06%)

Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 97¢

4,056.3 shares

97¢

98.5¢

$3,995.45$59.83 (1.52%)

Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 97¢

4,056.3 shares

$3,995.45$59.83 (1.52%)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 95.3¢

4,000.0 shares

95.3¢

96.4¢

$3,854.01$40.00 (1.05%)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 95.3¢

4,000.0 shares

$3,854.01$40.00 (1.05%)

Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?

No 90.3¢

3,759.4 shares

90.3¢

99.9¢

$3,753.80$360.69 (10.63%)

Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?

No 90.3¢

3,759.4 shares

$3,753.80$360.69 (10.63%)

Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?

No 98¢

3,016.2 shares

98¢

99.4¢

$2,996.64$41.34 (1.4%)

Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?

No 98¢

3,016.2 shares

$2,996.64$41.34 (1.4%)

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

No 93.9¢

3,000.0 shares

93.9¢

99.9¢

$2,995.50$178.50 (6.34%)

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

No 93.9¢

3,000.0 shares

$2,995.50$178.50 (6.34%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?

No 97.2¢

3,000.0 shares

97.2¢

99.7¢

$2,991.00$75.00 (2.57%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?

No 97.2¢

3,000.0 shares

$2,991.00$75.00 (2.57%)

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 94.3¢

3,000.0 shares

94.3¢

95.2¢

$2,854.50$26.50 (0.94%)

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 94.3¢

3,000.0 shares

$2,854.50$26.50 (0.94%)

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

No 91.8¢

3,000.0 shares

91.8¢

94.2¢

$2,824.50$69.50 (2.52%)

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

No 91.8¢

3,000.0 shares

$2,824.50$69.50 (2.52%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

No 97.5¢

2,813.5 shares

97.5¢

99.9¢

$2,809.27$66.17 (2.41%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

No 97.5¢

2,813.5 shares

$2,809.27$66.17 (2.41%)

US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?

Yes 99.6¢

2,269.3 shares

99.6¢

99.9¢

$2,267.07$6.81 (0.3%)

US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?

Yes 99.6¢

2,269.3 shares

$2,267.07$6.81 (0.3%)