perfectnostalgia

Joined Mar 2024·5.9K views

a humble forecaster with much to be humble about

$32.9K

Positions Value

$13.9K

Biggest Win

868

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$180.5K
Total Volume: 4M

Profit/Loss

$790.24

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

No 69.3¢

8,179.6 shares

69.3¢

90.5¢

$7,402.52$1,737.70 (30.68%)

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

No 69.3¢

8,179.6 shares

$7,402.52$1,737.70 (30.68%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Yes 85¢

5,000.0 shares

85¢

85.5¢

$4,275.00$25.00 (0.59%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Yes 85¢

5,000.0 shares

$4,275.00$25.00 (0.59%)

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 44.1¢

8,523.9 shares

44.1¢

46.4¢

$3,950.81$193.93 (5.16%)

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 44.1¢

8,523.9 shares

$3,950.81$193.93 (5.16%)

Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.3¢

49,108.8 shares

0.3¢

7.1¢

$3,511.28$3,351.29 (2,094.73%)

Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.3¢

49,108.8 shares

$3,511.28$3,351.29 (2,094.73%)

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?

Yes 84.9¢

3,457.4 shares

84.9¢

91.5¢

$3,163.56$227.75 (7.76%)

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?

Yes 84.9¢

3,457.4 shares

$3,163.56$227.75 (7.76%)

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?

No 76¢

3,200.0 shares

76¢

96.8¢

$3,097.60$665.60 (27.37%)

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?

No 76¢

3,200.0 shares

$3,097.60$665.60 (27.37%)

Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?

Yes 60.5¢

2,889.7 shares

60.5¢

69.7¢

$2,014.13$265.51 (15.18%)

Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?

Yes 60.5¢

2,889.7 shares

$2,014.13$265.51 (15.18%)

Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Yes 23¢

1,492.6 shares

23¢

84.5¢

$1,261.24$917.21 (266.61%)

Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Yes 23¢

1,492.6 shares

$1,261.24$917.21 (266.61%)

Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?

Yes 25.4¢

2,996.2 shares

25.4¢

31.3¢

$936.30$176.73 (23.27%)

Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?

Yes 25.4¢

2,996.2 shares

$936.30$176.73 (23.27%)

ECB rate cut in 2026?

No 88¢

906.2 shares

88¢

97.6¢

$884.00$86.54 (10.85%)

ECB rate cut in 2026?

No 88¢

906.2 shares

$884.00$86.54 (10.85%)

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

No 67.3¢

704.7 shares

67.3¢

95.5¢

$673.00$198.53 (41.84%)

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

No 67.3¢

704.7 shares

$673.00$198.53 (41.84%)

Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Yes 20.2¢

4,585.9 shares

20.2¢

10.5¢

$479.23-$445.52 (-48.18%)

Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Yes 20.2¢

4,585.9 shares

$479.23-$445.52 (-48.18%)

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?

No 77.6¢

489.0 shares

77.6¢

82.5¢

$403.43$23.71 (6.24%)

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?

No 77.6¢

489.0 shares

$403.43$23.71 (6.24%)

Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in October?

Yes 52.7¢

360.1 shares

52.7¢

69¢

$248.46$58.72 (30.94%)

Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in October?

Yes 52.7¢

360.1 shares

$248.46$58.72 (30.94%)

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 2.7¢

11,500.0 shares

2.7¢

1.7¢

$189.75-$116.52 (-38.05%)

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 2.7¢

11,500.0 shares

$189.75-$116.52 (-38.05%)

Will Klaas Knot be the next President of the European Central Bank?

Yes 30.2¢

289.2 shares

30.2¢

39.5¢

$114.23$26.77 (30.61%)

Will Klaas Knot be the next President of the European Central Bank?

Yes 30.2¢

289.2 shares

$114.23$26.77 (30.61%)

Will Pablo Hernández de Cos be the next President of the European Central Bank?

Yes 40¢

160.0 shares

40¢

59.5¢

$95.20$31.20 (48.75%)

Will Pablo Hernández de Cos be the next President of the European Central Bank?

Yes 40¢

160.0 shares

$95.20$31.20 (48.75%)

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?

No 67¢

78.5 shares

67¢

98.3¢

$77.19$24.58 (46.72%)

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?

No 67¢

78.5 shares

$77.19$24.58 (46.72%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 9¢

52.0 shares

9¢

95.6¢

$49.70$45.02 (962.23%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 9¢

52.0 shares

$49.70$45.02 (962.23%)

Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.7¢

19,460.2 shares

0.7¢

0.2¢

$29.19-$106.95 (-78.56%)

Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.7¢

19,460.2 shares

$29.19-$106.95 (-78.56%)