Profit/Loss
Past Day

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
93.4¢
99.2¢

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
46¢
47.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
89.5¢
95.2¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
66.1¢
66.5¢

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Iran full airspace closure by August 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
97.2¢
99.7¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
64.5¢
84.5¢

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
69.6¢
80.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
88.2¢
100¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
44.7¢
58.5¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
27.9¢
16.5¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
61¢
74.5¢

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
31.2¢
27.5¢

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
68¢
69.5¢

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
52¢
76.5¢

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
67.9¢
88.5¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?