soisson-yan

Joined Jun 2026·0 views

$16.86

Positions Value

—

Biggest Win

Predictions

Profit/Loss

$0.13

Past Day

Current

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Yes 42¢

4.8 shares

42¢

79¢

$3.76$1.76 (88.1%)

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Yes 42¢

4.8 shares

$3.76$1.76 (88.1%)

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 81¢

3.7 shares

81¢

82.5¢

$3.06$0.06 (1.85%)

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 81¢

3.7 shares

$3.06$0.06 (1.85%)

Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?

Yes 9¢

33.3 shares

9¢

8¢

$2.67-$0.33 (-11.11%)

Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?

Yes 9¢

33.3 shares

$2.67-$0.33 (-11.11%)

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Yes 23¢

4.3 shares

23¢

27¢

$1.17$0.17 (17.39%)

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Yes 23¢

4.3 shares

$1.17$0.17 (17.39%)

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 42¢

2.4 shares

42¢

44.5¢

$1.06$0.06 (5.95%)

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 42¢

2.4 shares

$1.06$0.06 (5.95%)

Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Yes 33¢

3.0 shares

33¢

30.5¢

$0.92-$0.08 (-7.57%)

Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Yes 33¢

3.0 shares

$0.92-$0.08 (-7.57%)

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Yes 44¢

2.3 shares

44¢

36.5¢

$0.83-$0.17 (-17.04%)

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Yes 44¢

2.3 shares

$0.83-$0.17 (-17.04%)

Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 8.7¢

8.0 shares

8.7¢

9.8¢

$0.78$0.08 (12.07%)

Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 8.7¢

8.0 shares

$0.78$0.08 (12.07%)

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

No 13¢

7.7 shares

13¢

10¢

$0.77-$0.23 (-23.07%)

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

No 13¢

7.7 shares

$0.77-$0.23 (-23.07%)

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic + OpenAI 57¢

1.8 shares

57¢

43.5¢

$0.76-$0.24 (-23.68%)

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic + OpenAI 57¢

1.8 shares

$0.76-$0.24 (-23.68%)

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Yes 33¢

3.0 shares

33¢

14¢

$0.42-$0.58 (-57.57%)

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Yes 33¢

3.0 shares

$0.42-$0.58 (-57.57%)

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Meta 6.5¢

15.4 shares

6.5¢

2.3¢

$0.35-$0.65 (-64.61%)

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Meta 6.5¢

15.4 shares

$0.35-$0.65 (-64.61%)

Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 9.3¢

10.8 shares

9.3¢

2.8¢

$0.30-$0.70 (-69.89%)

Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 9.3¢

10.8 shares

$0.30-$0.70 (-69.89%)