Rumpelstiltskin
Joined Mar 2025·1.6K views
$4,579.31
Positions Value
$9,784.22
Biggest Win
179
Predictions
Profit/Loss
Past Day
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
No 56¢
2,000.0 shares$1,780.00$660.00 (58.93%)
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
No 19.7¢
2,422.5 shares$593.50$115.14 (24.07%)
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
No 34¢
699.9 shares$486.35$248.24 (104.26%)
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
No 17.6¢
2,229.0 shares$423.52$30.13 (7.66%)
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
No 45.1¢
402.4 shares$386.29$204.90 (112.97%)
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
No 23.8¢
938.9 shares$323.82$100.03 (44.7%)
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Yes 26.8¢
1,161.9 shares26.8¢
17.5¢
$203.33-$108.50 (-34.79%)
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Yes 26.8¢
1,161.9 shares$203.33-$108.50 (-34.79%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 59.7¢
696.1 shares59.7¢
23¢
$160.09-$255.35 (-61.46%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 59.7¢
696.1 shares$160.09-$255.35 (-61.46%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Yes 46¢
135.0 shares$127.58$65.48 (105.43%)
46¢
32¢
$72.08-$31.54 (-30.43%)
$72.08-$31.54 (-30.43%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
No 33.9¢
190.0 shares$9.67-$54.73 (-84.98%)
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?
No 32¢
5.0 shares$4.71$3.11 (194.21%)
54¢
68¢
$4.05$0.83 (25.93%)
$4.05$0.83 (25.93%)
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
No 60¢
2.5 shares$2.31$0.80 (52.41%)
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
No 67¢
1.1 shares$1.05$0.30 (39.54%)
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
Yes 45¢
1.0 shares$0.79$0.32 (67.78%)