US-geo promotional popup. Variant sets the initial state (expanded vs minimized).

us_popup

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

Show BTC 15-minute up/down market in 3rd slot on homepage.

homepage_btc_15m_slot

signup_prompt

Show personalized Picked for You shelf on homepage

picked_for_you

Auto-redeem prompt for closed market positions

auto_redeem

Kill switch — when enabled, hides sponsor and cancel-sponsorship UI

disable_sponsor_markets

Route /search to the search ranking service

search_ranking

Route navbar search to the search ranking service

search_ranking_autocomplete

Route /search and navbar search to Shaped-backed /search-v3 (vs Typesense /search-v2).

search_v3

Enables the new contracts (PMCT) migration: post-migration modal, USDCe→pUSD wrap UI, new allowance reads/approvals, balance upgrade prompts, and the cancelled-orders portfolio tab.

enable_pmct_migration

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Will Trump say "Judy Shelton" during the State of the Union address?

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Netanyahu out by March 31?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?

Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Will GPT-5.6 be released prior to May 18, 2026?

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

illumination

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Activity

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Buy ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ shares depending on your prediction. Odds shift in real time as other traders get in on the action.

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2. Place a Trade

Sell your 'Yes' or 'No' shares at any time, or wait until the market ends to redeem winning shares for $1 each. Create an account and place your first trade in minutes.

3. Redeem

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Merge a share of Yes and No to get 1 USDC. You can do this to save cost when trying to get rid of a position.

Merge shares

Order Book

Major Price Slippage

Split a USDC into a share of Yes and No. You can do this to save cost by getting both and just selling the other side.

Split shares

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