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US Congress predictions & odds

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US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

11%

$17.5K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

62%

$1.2K Vol.

$989 Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Who will testify to congress about Epstein?

Who will testify to congress about Epstein?

17%

Ex-Prince Andrew

$61.0K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

11

Ends in about 2 months

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?

4%

$2.5K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

5%

$157K Vol.

$22.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

$82.6K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

9

Ends in 6 months

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

80%

Hakeem Jeffries

$1.7K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

29%

December 31, 2026

$560K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

28

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

44%

Democrats Sweep

$7M Vol.

$83.7K today

$541K Liq.

174

Ends in 6 months

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

15%

$12.2K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

18%

$8.6K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

90%

Scott Wiener

$357K Vol.

$40.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 19 days

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

25%

Below 190

$230K Vol.

$147K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

91%

$166K Vol.

$39.0K Liq.

19

Ends in 8 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.7K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

IN-03 House Election Winner

IN-03 House Election Winner

92%

Republican Party

$4.1K Vol.

$29.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

CO-03 House Election Winner

CO-03 House Election Winner

64%

Republican Party

$1.1K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

IN-05 House Election Winner

IN-05 House Election Winner

80%

Republican Party

$13.9K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

IN-02 House Election Winner

IN-02 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$634 Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

IN-04 House Election Winner

IN-04 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$1.4K Vol.

$22.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like US Congress.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for US Congress that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US congress stock trading ban before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to Democrats Sweep. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US Congress predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.