Strong generic ballot leads for Democrats, averaging 5-10 points in recent Emerson College (April 2026) and Ipsos surveys, underpin the 77% trader consensus for a blue wave in the 2026 midterms, reflecting gains among independents, Hispanics, and women amid President Trump's 37% approval on economy and foreign policy issues. Democratic overperformance in off-year races—like a special election win in a conservative Georgia district, Wisconsin mayoral contest, and Southern state legislatures—has fueled momentum, echoing historical midterm penalties for the president's party (average 28 House seat losses). Senate control remains competitive due to map dynamics, with primaries starting soon as key tests.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$41,498 Vol.
$41,498 Vol.
30 nov 2026
Sì
$41,498 Vol.
$41,498 Vol.
30 nov 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfStrong generic ballot leads for Democrats, averaging 5-10 points in recent Emerson College (April 2026) and Ipsos surveys, underpin the 77% trader consensus for a blue wave in the 2026 midterms, reflecting gains among independents, Hispanics, and women amid President Trump's 37% approval on economy and foreign policy issues. Democratic overperformance in off-year races—like a special election win in a conservative Georgia district, Wisconsin mayoral contest, and Southern state legislatures—has fueled momentum, echoing historical midterm penalties for the president's party (average 28 House seat losses). Senate control remains competitive due to map dynamics, with primaries starting soon as key tests.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Mercato aperto: Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Volume
$41,498Data di fine
30 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfStrong generic ballot leads for Democrats, averaging 5-10 points in recent Emerson College (April 2026) and Ipsos surveys, underpin the 77% trader consensus for a blue wave in the 2026 midterms, reflecting gains among independents, Hispanics, and women amid President Trump's 37% approval on economy and foreign policy issues. Democratic overperformance in off-year races—like a special election win in a conservative Georgia district, Wisconsin mayoral contest, and Southern state legislatures—has fueled momentum, echoing historical midterm penalties for the president's party (average 28 House seat losses). Senate control remains competitive due to map dynamics, with primaries starting soon as key tests.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Volume
$41,498Data di fine
30 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong generic ballot leads for Democrats, averaging 5-10 points in recent Emerson College (April 2026) and Ipsos surveys, underpin the 77% trader consensus for a blue wave in the 2026 midterms, reflecting gains among independents, Hispanics, and women amid President Trump's 37% approval on economy and foreign policy issues. Democratic overperformance in off-year races—like a special election win in a conservative Georgia district, Wisconsin mayoral contest, and Southern state legislatures—has fueled momentum, echoing historical midterm penalties for the president's party (average 28 House seat losses). Senate control remains competitive due to map dynamics, with primaries starting soon as key tests.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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