Incumbent Republican Joni Ernst’s decision not to seek re-election has opened Iowa’s Class II Senate seat for the November 3, 2026, contest. U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson has consolidated Republican primary support ahead of the June 2 vote through stronger fundraising and endorsements against challenger Jim Carlin, positioning the GOP nominee for a structural edge in a state that has trended Republican in recent federal elections. Democratic primary contenders Josh Turek and Zach Wahls remain closely matched, with general-election surveys showing narrow hypothetical margins between the eventual nominees. Trader consensus at 62 percent Republican and 37.5 percent Democrat reflects Iowa’s partisan lean and primary dynamics, though the competitive nature of likely matchups leaves room for shifts tied to turnout or primary results.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Iowa
Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato dell'Iowa
$116,823 Vol.
$116,823 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
62%
Democratico
38%
$116,823 Vol.
$116,823 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
$53,525 Vol.
62%
Democratico
$63,298 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Joni Ernst’s decision not to seek re-election has opened Iowa’s Class II Senate seat for the November 3, 2026, contest. U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson has consolidated Republican primary support ahead of the June 2 vote through stronger fundraising and endorsements against challenger Jim Carlin, positioning the GOP nominee for a structural edge in a state that has trended Republican in recent federal elections. Democratic primary contenders Josh Turek and Zach Wahls remain closely matched, with general-election surveys showing narrow hypothetical margins between the eventual nominees. Trader consensus at 62 percent Republican and 37.5 percent Democrat reflects Iowa’s partisan lean and primary dynamics, though the competitive nature of likely matchups leaves room for shifts tied to turnout or primary results.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Volume
$116,823Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Joni Ernst’s decision not to seek re-election has opened Iowa’s Class II Senate seat for the November 3, 2026, contest. U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson has consolidated Republican primary support ahead of the June 2 vote through stronger fundraising and endorsements against challenger Jim Carlin, positioning the GOP nominee for a structural edge in a state that has trended Republican in recent federal elections. Democratic primary contenders Josh Turek and Zach Wahls remain closely matched, with general-election surveys showing narrow hypothetical margins between the eventual nominees. Trader consensus at 62 percent Republican and 37.5 percent Democrat reflects Iowa’s partisan lean and primary dynamics, though the competitive nature of likely matchups leaves room for shifts tied to turnout or primary results.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$116,823Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Joni Ernst’s decision not to seek re-election has opened Iowa’s Class II Senate seat for the November 3, 2026, contest. U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson has consolidated Republican primary support ahead of the June 2 vote through stronger fundraising and endorsements against challenger Jim Carlin, positioning the GOP nominee for a structural edge in a state that has trended Republican in recent federal elections. Democratic primary contenders Josh Turek and Zach Wahls remain closely matched, with general-election surveys showing narrow hypothetical margins between the eventual nominees. Trader consensus at 62 percent Republican and 37.5 percent Democrat reflects Iowa’s partisan lean and primary dynamics, though the competitive nature of likely matchups leaves room for shifts tied to turnout or primary results.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti