Scott Wiener holds a modest lead in trader pricing for California's 11th District general election, reflecting his stronger primary performance, state legislative record on housing production and transportation, and broad Democratic Party endorsements. Connie Chan, who advanced alongside him in the June top-two primary after Nancy Pelosi's retirement, benefits from progressive and labor backing plus the former speaker's late endorsement, though she trailed Wiener by roughly 11 points in the June vote. The solidly Democratic district makes the November outcome dependent on turnout among San Francisco's core voter blocs, with limited Republican opposition. Scheduled debates and late-cycle spending on contrasting visions for local development could shift sentiment before ballots are cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$13,602 Vol.
$13,602 Vol.
Scott Wiener
60%
Connie Chan
41%
$13,602 Vol.
$13,602 Vol.
Scott Wiener
60%
Connie Chan
41%
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Scott Wiener holds a modest lead in trader pricing for California's 11th District general election, reflecting his stronger primary performance, state legislative record on housing production and transportation, and broad Democratic Party endorsements. Connie Chan, who advanced alongside him in the June top-two primary after Nancy Pelosi's retirement, benefits from progressive and labor backing plus the former speaker's late endorsement, though she trailed Wiener by roughly 11 points in the June vote. The solidly Democratic district makes the November outcome dependent on turnout among San Francisco's core voter blocs, with limited Republican opposition. Scheduled debates and late-cycle spending on contrasting visions for local development could shift sentiment before ballots are cast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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