Heightened competition for House control, framed as a referendum on the Trump administration, has driven sustained voter mobilization and kept trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 115-125 million total votes. Recent generic ballot polling showing Democratic leads, elevated Democratic primary participation relative to Republican races, and expanded mail and early voting infrastructure support participation near or above 2022 levels. Competitive districts, fundraising activity, and messaging around economic and policy issues further encourage turnout, while historical midterm baselines of roughly 100-115 million votes and risks of uneven base engagement maintain the narrow spread among leading ranges. Final campaign events through November 3 could still influence totals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato115-120m 26%
120-125m 17%
125-130m 17%
110-115m 16%
$30,800 Vol.
$30,800 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
3%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
10%
110-115m
16%
115-120m
26%
120-125m
17%
125-130m
17%
130m+
9%
115-120m 26%
120-125m 17%
125-130m 17%
110-115m 16%
$30,800 Vol.
$30,800 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<85m
$617 Vol.
1%
85-90m
$619 Vol.
<1%
90-95m
$1,851 Vol.
3%
95-100m
$380 Vol.
3%
100-105m
$1,225 Vol.
6%
105-110m
$941 Vol.
10%
110-115m
$4,892 Vol.
16%
115-120m
$5,528 Vol.
26%
120-125m
$9,513 Vol.
17%
125-130m
$3,544 Vol.
17%
130m+
$1,691 Vol.
9%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Heightened competition for House control, framed as a referendum on the Trump administration, has driven sustained voter mobilization and kept trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 115-125 million total votes. Recent generic ballot polling showing Democratic leads, elevated Democratic primary participation relative to Republican races, and expanded mail and early voting infrastructure support participation near or above 2022 levels. Competitive districts, fundraising activity, and messaging around economic and policy issues further encourage turnout, while historical midterm baselines of roughly 100-115 million votes and risks of uneven base engagement maintain the narrow spread among leading ranges. Final campaign events through November 3 could still influence totals.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$30,800Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Heightened competition for House control, framed as a referendum on the Trump administration, has driven sustained voter mobilization and kept trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 115-125 million total votes. Recent generic ballot polling showing Democratic leads, elevated Democratic primary participation relative to Republican races, and expanded mail and early voting infrastructure support participation near or above 2022 levels. Competitive districts, fundraising activity, and messaging around economic and policy issues further encourage turnout, while historical midterm baselines of roughly 100-115 million votes and risks of uneven base engagement maintain the narrow spread among leading ranges. Final campaign events through November 3 could still influence totals.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$30,800Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Heightened competition for House control, framed as a referendum on the Trump administration, has driven sustained voter mobilization and kept trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 115-125 million total votes. Recent generic ballot polling showing Democratic leads, elevated Democratic primary participation relative to Republican races, and expanded mail and early voting infrastructure support participation near or above 2022 levels. Competitive districts, fundraising activity, and messaging around economic and policy issues further encourage turnout, while historical midterm baselines of roughly 100-115 million votes and risks of uneven base engagement maintain the narrow spread among leading ranges. Final campaign events through November 3 could still influence totals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il Partito Democratico vincerà il voto popolare nelle elezioni di metà mandato della Camera dei Rappresentanti degli Stati Uniti del 2026 con un margine tra l'8% e il 10%?
27%
Sì
Le elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 si terranno come previsto?
98%
Sì
Il Partito Democratico vincerà il seggio della Camera dell'OR-01?
96%
Sì
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