Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 115-130 million votes, reflecting expectations of record participation driven by a competitive national battle for control, where Democrats lead generic ballot polls by 5-6 points and earn substantial favorite status in Cook Political Report's April ratings (213 safe/lean/likely Democratic seats versus 205 Republican). Recent developments, including Pollfinity's April 20 projection of a Democratic House majority (227-208 seats) and early primary turnout surges like North Carolina's March contests, signal heightened voter mobilization amid polarization in President Trump's second term and historical midterm penalties for the president's party. The race stays close due to uncertainties in base turnout from key voting blocs, economic trends, and policy reactions; surges in swing district enthusiasm or special election results could push toward higher bins like 125-130 million, while voter fatigue might favor lower ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato115-120m 18%
125-130m 17%
110-115m 14%
105-110m 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
<85m
5%
85-90m
14%
90-95m
2%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
13%
110-115m
14%
115-120m
18%
120-125m
13%
125-130m
23%
130m+
6%
115-120m 18%
125-130m 17%
110-115m 14%
105-110m 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
<85m
$319 Vol.
5%
85-90m
$419 Vol.
14%
90-95m
$831 Vol.
2%
95-100m
$269 Vol.
3%
100-105m
$660 Vol.
6%
105-110m
$431 Vol.
13%
110-115m
$504 Vol.
14%
115-120m
$1,020 Vol.
18%
120-125m
$371 Vol.
13%
125-130m
$1,158 Vol.
23%
130m+
$245 Vol.
6%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 115-130 million votes, reflecting expectations of record participation driven by a competitive national battle for control, where Democrats lead generic ballot polls by 5-6 points and earn substantial favorite status in Cook Political Report's April ratings (213 safe/lean/likely Democratic seats versus 205 Republican). Recent developments, including Pollfinity's April 20 projection of a Democratic House majority (227-208 seats) and early primary turnout surges like North Carolina's March contests, signal heightened voter mobilization amid polarization in President Trump's second term and historical midterm penalties for the president's party. The race stays close due to uncertainties in base turnout from key voting blocs, economic trends, and policy reactions; surges in swing district enthusiasm or special election results could push toward higher bins like 125-130 million, while voter fatigue might favor lower ranges.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$6,226Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 115-130 million votes, reflecting expectations of record participation driven by a competitive national battle for control, where Democrats lead generic ballot polls by 5-6 points and earn substantial favorite status in Cook Political Report's April ratings (213 safe/lean/likely Democratic seats versus 205 Republican). Recent developments, including Pollfinity's April 20 projection of a Democratic House majority (227-208 seats) and early primary turnout surges like North Carolina's March contests, signal heightened voter mobilization amid polarization in President Trump's second term and historical midterm penalties for the president's party. The race stays close due to uncertainties in base turnout from key voting blocs, economic trends, and policy reactions; surges in swing district enthusiasm or special election results could push toward higher bins like 125-130 million, while voter fatigue might favor lower ranges.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$6,226Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 115-130 million votes, reflecting expectations of record participation driven by a competitive national battle for control, where Democrats lead generic ballot polls by 5-6 points and earn substantial favorite status in Cook Political Report's April ratings (213 safe/lean/likely Democratic seats versus 205 Republican). Recent developments, including Pollfinity's April 20 projection of a Democratic House majority (227-208 seats) and early primary turnout surges like North Carolina's March contests, signal heightened voter mobilization amid polarization in President Trump's second term and historical midterm penalties for the president's party. The race stays close due to uncertainties in base turnout from key voting blocs, economic trends, and policy reactions; surges in swing district enthusiasm or special election results could push toward higher bins like 125-130 million, while voter fatigue might favor lower ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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