Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 110-125 million votes, mirroring recent cycles like 2022's 111 million and 2018's 118 million, as voter enthusiasm remains uncertain amid President Trump's middling approval ratings and a slight Democratic edge in generic congressional ballot polls. Recent primary turnout in North Carolina and other early states showed modest participation despite Republican registration gains, providing mixed signals on mobilization without a clear catalyst to separate outcomes. Battleground district competitiveness and off-year voting patterns keep the race balanced, with potential separation from summer primaries, economic shifts, or party turnout operations that could elevate totals above 125 million or depress them below 110 million.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato115-120m 14%
120-125m 12%
110-115m 11%
125-130m 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
<85m
<1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
2%
100-105m
1%
105-110m
5%
110-115m
11%
115-120m
27%
120-125m
21%
125-130m
25%
130m+
10%
115-120m 14%
120-125m 12%
110-115m 11%
125-130m 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
<85m
$324 Vol.
<1%
85-90m
$419 Vol.
<1%
90-95m
$1,552 Vol.
1%
95-100m
$269 Vol.
2%
100-105m
$791 Vol.
1%
105-110m
$436 Vol.
5%
110-115m
$526 Vol.
11%
115-120m
$1,025 Vol.
27%
120-125m
$408 Vol.
21%
125-130m
$1,199 Vol.
25%
130m+
$294 Vol.
10%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 110-125 million votes, mirroring recent cycles like 2022's 111 million and 2018's 118 million, as voter enthusiasm remains uncertain amid President Trump's middling approval ratings and a slight Democratic edge in generic congressional ballot polls. Recent primary turnout in North Carolina and other early states showed modest participation despite Republican registration gains, providing mixed signals on mobilization without a clear catalyst to separate outcomes. Battleground district competitiveness and off-year voting patterns keep the race balanced, with potential separation from summer primaries, economic shifts, or party turnout operations that could elevate totals above 125 million or depress them below 110 million.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$7,242Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 110-125 million votes, mirroring recent cycles like 2022's 111 million and 2018's 118 million, as voter enthusiasm remains uncertain amid President Trump's middling approval ratings and a slight Democratic edge in generic congressional ballot polls. Recent primary turnout in North Carolina and other early states showed modest participation despite Republican registration gains, providing mixed signals on mobilization without a clear catalyst to separate outcomes. Battleground district competitiveness and off-year voting patterns keep the race balanced, with potential separation from summer primaries, economic shifts, or party turnout operations that could elevate totals above 125 million or depress them below 110 million.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$7,242Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 110-125 million votes, mirroring recent cycles like 2022's 111 million and 2018's 118 million, as voter enthusiasm remains uncertain amid President Trump's middling approval ratings and a slight Democratic edge in generic congressional ballot polls. Recent primary turnout in North Carolina and other early states showed modest participation despite Republican registration gains, providing mixed signals on mobilization without a clear catalyst to separate outcomes. Battleground district competitiveness and off-year voting patterns keep the race balanced, with potential separation from summer primaries, economic shifts, or party turnout operations that could elevate totals above 125 million or depress them below 110 million.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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