Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 2026 midterm House turnout in the 120-130 million vote range, reflecting expectations of modestly higher participation than the 111 million in 2022 amid sustained national polarization following the 2024 presidential contest. Recent polls, including a May CNN analysis and April Emerson survey, highlight a Democratic enthusiasm edge—around 47% "very enthusiastic" versus 28% for Republicans—bolstering odds for elevated totals through stronger left-leaning mobilization in battlegrounds. Yet the tight race between 125-130 million (26.5%) and 120-125 million (20.5%) stems from countervailing GOP registration gains in states like Arizona and Florida, mixed primary turnout signals, and historical midterm volatility tied to economic sentiment and incumbency backlash against President Trump's administration. Shifts could emerge from summer generic ballot polls, key state primaries, or policy developments on immigration and the economy influencing turnout among low-propensity voters.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato125-130m 26%
110-115m 18%
115-120m 14%
120-125m 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
<85m
<1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
7%
100-105m
1%
105-110m
5%
110-115m
18%
115-120m
34%
120-125m
33%
125-130m
26%
130m+
10%
125-130m 26%
110-115m 18%
115-120m 14%
120-125m 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
<85m
$324 Vol.
<1%
85-90m
$419 Vol.
<1%
90-95m
$1,552 Vol.
1%
95-100m
$269 Vol.
7%
100-105m
$791 Vol.
1%
105-110m
$436 Vol.
5%
110-115m
$526 Vol.
18%
115-120m
$1,025 Vol.
34%
120-125m
$408 Vol.
33%
125-130m
$1,199 Vol.
26%
130m+
$294 Vol.
10%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 2026 midterm House turnout in the 120-130 million vote range, reflecting expectations of modestly higher participation than the 111 million in 2022 amid sustained national polarization following the 2024 presidential contest. Recent polls, including a May CNN analysis and April Emerson survey, highlight a Democratic enthusiasm edge—around 47% "very enthusiastic" versus 28% for Republicans—bolstering odds for elevated totals through stronger left-leaning mobilization in battlegrounds. Yet the tight race between 125-130 million (26.5%) and 120-125 million (20.5%) stems from countervailing GOP registration gains in states like Arizona and Florida, mixed primary turnout signals, and historical midterm volatility tied to economic sentiment and incumbency backlash against President Trump's administration. Shifts could emerge from summer generic ballot polls, key state primaries, or policy developments on immigration and the economy influencing turnout among low-propensity voters.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$7,242Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 2026 midterm House turnout in the 120-130 million vote range, reflecting expectations of modestly higher participation than the 111 million in 2022 amid sustained national polarization following the 2024 presidential contest. Recent polls, including a May CNN analysis and April Emerson survey, highlight a Democratic enthusiasm edge—around 47% "very enthusiastic" versus 28% for Republicans—bolstering odds for elevated totals through stronger left-leaning mobilization in battlegrounds. Yet the tight race between 125-130 million (26.5%) and 120-125 million (20.5%) stems from countervailing GOP registration gains in states like Arizona and Florida, mixed primary turnout signals, and historical midterm volatility tied to economic sentiment and incumbency backlash against President Trump's administration. Shifts could emerge from summer generic ballot polls, key state primaries, or policy developments on immigration and the economy influencing turnout among low-propensity voters.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$7,242Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 2026 midterm House turnout in the 120-130 million vote range, reflecting expectations of modestly higher participation than the 111 million in 2022 amid sustained national polarization following the 2024 presidential contest. Recent polls, including a May CNN analysis and April Emerson survey, highlight a Democratic enthusiasm edge—around 47% "very enthusiastic" versus 28% for Republicans—bolstering odds for elevated totals through stronger left-leaning mobilization in battlegrounds. Yet the tight race between 125-130 million (26.5%) and 120-125 million (20.5%) stems from countervailing GOP registration gains in states like Arizona and Florida, mixed primary turnout signals, and historical midterm volatility tied to economic sentiment and incumbency backlash against President Trump's administration. Shifts could emerge from summer generic ballot polls, key state primaries, or policy developments on immigration and the economy influencing turnout among low-propensity voters.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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