Will SOFR hit __ in April?

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

97%

↓3.64%

$2.7K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Bank of Canada decision in June?

Bank of Canada decision in June?

71%

No change

$2.1K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Bank of Canada decision in April?

Bank of Canada decision in April?

97%

No change

$79.7K Vol.

$38.6K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

43%

$2.8K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

73%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$3.5K Vol.

$124K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

50%

Decrease

$0 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

88%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$719K Vol.

$101K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$414K Vol.

$93.4K Liq.

41

Ends in 25 days

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

82%

↑ 6.50%

$43.3K Vol.

$981 Liq.

Ends in 9 months

QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 6?

QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 6?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$39 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 6?

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 6?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$82 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

75%

25 bps Increase

$5.7K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

76%

No change

$283K Vol.

$52.4K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

74%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$107K Vol.

$47.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 6?

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 6?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on April 6?

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on April 6?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$81 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?

81%

No Change

$1.5K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 6?

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 6?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$94 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

16%

September Meeting

$3.4K Vol.

$199K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in about 24 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Secured Overnight Financing Rate.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Secured Overnight Financing Rate that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will SOFR hit __ in April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 6?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decisions (Mar-Jun),” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decisions (Mar-Jun),” where the crowd is currently assigning a 88% chance to Pause–Pause–Pause. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Secured Overnight Financing Rate predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.