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Nuclear Deal predictions & odds

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US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

19%

$349K Vol.

$70.4K today

$28.5K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

39%

$2M Vol.

$73.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

64%

$1M Vol.

$114K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

7%

June 30

$589K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

38

Ends in about 2 months

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

11%

$6.6K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

39%

$790K Vol.

$28.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

17%

$332K Vol.

$50.7K today

$20.4K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

43%

December 31

$6M Vol.

$305K today

$146K Liq.

108

Ends in 8 months

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

1%

US Confirms Aliens Exist

$232K Vol.

$40.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 months

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

74%

December 31

$84M Vol.

$6M today

$1M Liq.

1,780

Ends in 8 months

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

34%

$22.6K Vol.

$693 Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

14%

$323K Vol.

$175K today

$18.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 23 days

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

6%

$146K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

27%

December 31

$11M Vol.

$216K today

$521K Liq.

123

Ends in 8 months

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

8%

$118K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

14%

$564K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

3%

May 31

$143K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

22

Ends in 23 days

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

8%

$587K Vol.

$72.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

9%

$190K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

4%

$114K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

11

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Nuclear Deal.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Nuclear Deal that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $108.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 74% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Nuclear Deal predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.