Vladimir Putin's firm grip on Russian leadership, secured by his 2024 re-election for a term extending to 2030 under constitutional amendments allowing service until 2036, underpins the 90.5% "No" probability on his exit by year-end. No verified political challenges, elite defections, or official succession signals have emerged in recent months, despite ongoing Ukraine war strains and economic pressures like inflation and sanctions. Persistent but unsubstantiated health rumors—sparked by a March coughing video and February public absence—were swiftly denied by the Kremlin, with Putin maintaining visible policy announcements. Traders price in low risk of disruption absent confirmed health crisis, coup, or no-confidence triggers, aligning with historical regime stability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPutin jako prezydent Rosji do 31 grudnia 2026 roku?
Putin jako prezydent Rosji do 31 grudnia 2026 roku?
Tak
$3,973,596 Wol.
$3,973,596 Wol.
Tak
$3,973,596 Wol.
$3,973,596 Wol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin's firm grip on Russian leadership, secured by his 2024 re-election for a term extending to 2030 under constitutional amendments allowing service until 2036, underpins the 90.5% "No" probability on his exit by year-end. No verified political challenges, elite defections, or official succession signals have emerged in recent months, despite ongoing Ukraine war strains and economic pressures like inflation and sanctions. Persistent but unsubstantiated health rumors—sparked by a March coughing video and February public absence—were swiftly denied by the Kremlin, with Putin maintaining visible policy announcements. Traders price in low risk of disruption absent confirmed health crisis, coup, or no-confidence triggers, aligning with historical regime stability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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