Russia's political system under Vladimir Putin maintains strong cohesion through loyal security services, military command structures, and elite networks that contained earlier challenges such as the 2023 Wagner events. European intelligence reports from March–May 2026 noted temporary Kremlin alerts over potential plots involving figures like Sergei Shoigu and drone-related risks, prompting tighter protective measures and reduced public appearances, yet these produced no organized action or defections. As of August 2026, ongoing commitments in Ukraine, constitutional term extensions through 2036, and sustained opposition suppression have preserved regime stability without visible fractures or viable coup organizers. Traders reflect this consensus by assigning low probability to an attempt materializing absent sudden elite realignments or major external shocks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$116,981 Wol.
$116,981 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$116,981 Wol.
$116,981 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's political system under Vladimir Putin maintains strong cohesion through loyal security services, military command structures, and elite networks that contained earlier challenges such as the 2023 Wagner events. European intelligence reports from March–May 2026 noted temporary Kremlin alerts over potential plots involving figures like Sergei Shoigu and drone-related risks, prompting tighter protective measures and reduced public appearances, yet these produced no organized action or defections. As of August 2026, ongoing commitments in Ukraine, constitutional term extensions through 2036, and sustained opposition suppression have preserved regime stability without visible fractures or viable coup organizers. Traders reflect this consensus by assigning low probability to an attempt materializing absent sudden elite realignments or major external shocks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Wolumen
$116,981Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's political system under Vladimir Putin maintains strong cohesion through loyal security services, military command structures, and elite networks that contained earlier challenges such as the 2023 Wagner events. European intelligence reports from March–May 2026 noted temporary Kremlin alerts over potential plots involving figures like Sergei Shoigu and drone-related risks, prompting tighter protective measures and reduced public appearances, yet these produced no organized action or defections. As of August 2026, ongoing commitments in Ukraine, constitutional term extensions through 2036, and sustained opposition suppression have preserved regime stability without visible fractures or viable coup organizers. Traders reflect this consensus by assigning low probability to an attempt materializing absent sudden elite realignments or major external shocks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$116,981Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's political system under Vladimir Putin maintains strong cohesion through loyal security services, military command structures, and elite networks that contained earlier challenges such as the 2023 Wagner events. European intelligence reports from March–May 2026 noted temporary Kremlin alerts over potential plots involving figures like Sergei Shoigu and drone-related risks, prompting tighter protective measures and reduced public appearances, yet these produced no organized action or defections. As of August 2026, ongoing commitments in Ukraine, constitutional term extensions through 2036, and sustained opposition suppression have preserved regime stability without visible fractures or viable coup organizers. Traders reflect this consensus by assigning low probability to an attempt materializing absent sudden elite realignments or major external shocks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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