President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing after a 33-year voluntary moratorium—prompted by reported Russian and Chinese activities—remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment, though no explosive nuclear detonation has occurred at the Nevada National Security Site. The Department of Energy has conducted subcritical tests to maintain stockpile reliability without violating the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty norm, while congressional Democrats, including Nevada Senator Jacky Rosen, introduced bills in late 2025 and visited the site in April 2026 to oppose resumption amid funding debates. Technical preparations could take months, with political hurdles including Senate holds and international backlash tempering expectations ahead of fiscal year 2027 budget votes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAmerykańska próba jądrowa przeprowadzona przez...?
Amerykańska próba jądrowa przeprowadzona przez...?
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing after a 33-year voluntary moratorium—prompted by reported Russian and Chinese activities—remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment, though no explosive nuclear detonation has occurred at the Nevada National Security Site. The Department of Energy has conducted subcritical tests to maintain stockpile reliability without violating the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty norm, while congressional Democrats, including Nevada Senator Jacky Rosen, introduced bills in late 2025 and visited the site in April 2026 to oppose resumption amid funding debates. Technical preparations could take months, with political hurdles including Senate holds and international backlash tempering expectations ahead of fiscal year 2027 budget votes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$664,780Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing after a 33-year voluntary moratorium—prompted by reported Russian and Chinese activities—remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment, though no explosive nuclear detonation has occurred at the Nevada National Security Site. The Department of Energy has conducted subcritical tests to maintain stockpile reliability without violating the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty norm, while congressional Democrats, including Nevada Senator Jacky Rosen, introduced bills in late 2025 and visited the site in April 2026 to oppose resumption amid funding debates. Technical preparations could take months, with political hurdles including Senate holds and international backlash tempering expectations ahead of fiscal year 2027 budget votes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$664,780Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's October 2025 directive to resume U.S. nuclear weapons testing after a 33-year voluntary moratorium—prompted by reported Russian and Chinese activities—remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment, though no explosive nuclear detonation has occurred at the Nevada National Security Site. The Department of Energy has conducted subcritical tests to maintain stockpile reliability without violating the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty norm, while congressional Democrats, including Nevada Senator Jacky Rosen, introduced bills in late 2025 and visited the site in April 2026 to oppose resumption amid funding debates. Technical preparations could take months, with political hurdles including Senate holds and international backlash tempering expectations ahead of fiscal year 2027 budget votes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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