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Hot 100 predictions & odds

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Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

90%

Mariah Carey

$139K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

How many spots will Drake have in the Billboard top 10?

How many spots will Drake have in the Billboard top 10?

39%

8

$1.1K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 24 days

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

60%

Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire

$3.8K Vol.

$976 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

59%

2

$3M Vol.

$102K Liq.

18

Ends in 8 months

What will be said on ICEMAN?

What will be said on ICEMAN?

89%

Covid

$55.9K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

13

Ends in 9 days

How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?

How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?

41%

22–24

$12.9K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

98%

$7.8K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

What will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit Week of April 20 2026?

What will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit Week of April 20 2026?

-

$6.4K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

100%

Ballroom

$6.2K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

7

Ends in 4 days

Match Payers above ___ in Q1?

Match Payers above ___ in Q1?

13.6 million

+ 3 more

$467 Vol.

$0 Liq.

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

41%

160-179

$32.3K Vol.

$51.6K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

73%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

82%

$134K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Billboard #1 Artist 2026

Billboard #1 Artist 2026

41%

Ed Sheeran

$127K Vol.

$66.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

White House # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

White House # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

60%

140-159

$87.8K Vol.

$37.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?

Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?

7%

$6.2K Vol.

$279 Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

40%

1st hottest

$11.9K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

White House # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

White House # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

36%

160-179

$4.4K Vol.

$52.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

What will Trump say this week? (May 10)

What will Trump say this week? (May 10)

86%

Scam / Fraud

$51.6K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

87%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

44

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Hot 100 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

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As of today, the most active market is “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 59% chance to 2. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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