Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

23%

April 30

$53.9K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

18

Ends in 25 days

Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

68%

No Bond chosen

$2M Vol.

$122K Liq.

16

Ends in 3 months

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

100%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$1M Vol.

$658K today

$2M Liq.

364

Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3)

Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3)

100%

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

$41.4K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

63%

NVIDIA (NVDA)

$17.2K Vol.

$29.5K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

58%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

108

Ends in 3 months

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

79%

50

$16.2K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?

82%

↑ $184

$29.7K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

38%

180-199

$7.2K Vol.

$48.5K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

42%

Nithya Raman

$807K Vol.

$154K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

82%

↓ 0.0014

$95.5K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

What will Netflix (NFLX) hit in April 2026?

What will Netflix (NFLX) hit in April 2026?

65%

↑ $105

$135K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in April 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in April 2026?

65%

↓ $248

$6.0K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

What will JD Vance say during bilateral events with Orbán?

What will JD Vance say during bilateral events with Orbán?

97%

Trump

$447 Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

12%

$4.7K Vol.

$319 Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?

75%

↑ 40

$17.6K Vol.

$74.0K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

33%

↓ 0.20

$65.4K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

85%

Avengers: Doomsday

$1M Vol.

$181K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in April 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in April 2026?

84%

↓ $4,500

$15.9K Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit Week of April 6 2026?

What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit Week of April 6 2026?

68%

↓ $97.50

$0 Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Hollywood.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for Hollywood that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Love Wins: 2026 Edition”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 58% chance to June 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hollywood predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.