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icon for What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

72 Hours 100.0%

A Toxic Love Story <1%

Kung Fu Panda 4 <1%

Voicemails for Isabelle <1%

Polymarket

$8,898 Vol.

72 Hours 100.0%

A Toxic Love Story <1%

Kung Fu Panda 4 <1%

Voicemails for Isabelle <1%

Polymarket

$8,898 Vol.

icon for 72 Hours

72 Hours

$1,537 Vol.

Yes

icon for A Toxic Love Story

A Toxic Love Story

$1,205 Vol.

No

icon for Kung Fu Panda 4

Kung Fu Panda 4

$1,200 Vol.

No

icon for Voicemails for Isabelle

Voicemails for Isabelle

$1,378 Vol.

No

icon for KPop Demon Hunters

KPop Demon Hunters

$627 Vol.

No

icon for Take Shelter

Take Shelter

$710 Vol.

No

icon for Swapped

Swapped

$400 Vol.

No

icon for War Machine

War Machine

$801 Vol.

No

icon for Five Nights at Freddy's 2

Five Nights at Freddy's 2

$493 Vol.

No

icon for The Last House

The Last House

$546 Vol.

No

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".**72 Hours** has locked in overwhelming market-implied odds for the #2 global Netflix movie slot this week because its July 24 premiere generated 25.1 million views in its first full tracking period, far outpacing every other title. The Kevin Hart–Tim Story comedy’s broad appeal, raunchy bachelor-party premise, and strong promotional push created rapid audience momentum that pushed it to #1 on the official charts, with traders viewing any sustained second-place finish as highly probable given the current gap. Historical patterns show new star-driven originals often hold elevated positions for multiple weeks before dropping, though a late surge from a competitor like A Toxic Love Story could still produce an upset if viewing numbers shift sharply before the next chart lock.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.


The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$8,898
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".**72 Hours** has locked in overwhelming market-implied odds for the #2 global Netflix movie slot this week because its July 24 premiere generated 25.1 million views in its first full tracking period, far outpacing every other title. The Kevin Hart–Tim Story comedy’s broad appeal, raunchy bachelor-party premise, and strong promotional push created rapid audience momentum that pushed it to #1 on the official charts, with traders viewing any sustained second-place finish as highly probable given the current gap. Historical patterns show new star-driven originals often hold elevated positions for multiple weeks before dropping, though a late surge from a competitor like A Toxic Love Story could still produce an upset if viewing numbers shift sharply before the next chart lock.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.


The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$8,898
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "72 Hours" at 100%, followed by "A Toxic Love Story" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is "72 Hours" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "A Toxic Love Story" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.