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Assassin predictions & odds

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MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%

May 31

$1M Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

49

Ends in 14 days

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

10

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Imperial

$13.1K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

33

Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

75%

No Bond chosen

$2M Vol.

$50.4K Liq.

25

Ends in about 1 month

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

8%

$50.9K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

8%

Dong Jun

$157K Vol.

$107K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

86%

Delcy Rodríguez

$18.4K Vol.

$527K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

India strike on Pakistan by...?

India strike on Pakistan by...?

26%

December 31, 2026

$946K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

66

Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs ImmuNe (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs ImmuNe (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

100%

Sashi Academy

$13.1K Vol.

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

44%

80-99

$7.1K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs ImmuNe (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs ImmuNe (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

100%

Sashi Academy

$13.0K Vol.

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

30%

$14.8K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

11

Ends in 14 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

35%

80-99

$833 Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

40%

55-59

$1.3K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Russian strike on Poland by...?

Russian strike on Poland by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$44.1K Liq.

251

Khamenei # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

71%

<5

$288 Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

65%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$8M Vol.

$193K today

$2M Liq.

107

Ends in 8 months

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

47%

80-99

$18.7K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Assassin.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Assassin that lets you track or trade on predictions like “MegaETH airdrop by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $18.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Evo Morales arrested by May 31”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran leader end of 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Iran leader end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 65% chance to Mojtaba Khamenei. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Assassin predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.