Xi Jinping’s intensified anti-corruption campaign within the People’s Liberation Army and Chinese Communist Party structures continues to drive expectations for additional removals through 2026. The January 2026 investigations of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli capped a wave that has sidelined more than 100 senior officers since 2022, emptying most CMC seats and extending into regional commands, the Rocket Force, and logistics roles. Further signals emerged with the April 2026 probe into former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui and ongoing discipline inspections that filed over one million cases in 2025. Cadre assessment teams scheduled to begin work in summer 2026 ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress heighten scrutiny on remaining military and civilian figures, including potential targets such as Defense Minister Dong Jun and CMC member Zhang Shengmin. Traders view the process as a mechanism for installing loyal personnel rather than isolated scandals, though the specific individuals affected remain difficult to forecast amid broad institutional churn.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$197,865 ปริมาณ
Dong Jun
13%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Zhao Leji
5%
Cai Qi
5%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Huning
4%
Li Qiang
2%
Li Xi
2%
Wang Yi
2%
$197,865 ปริมาณ
Dong Jun
13%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Zhao Leji
5%
Cai Qi
5%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Huning
4%
Li Qiang
2%
Li Xi
2%
Wang Yi
2%
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s intensified anti-corruption campaign within the People’s Liberation Army and Chinese Communist Party structures continues to drive expectations for additional removals through 2026. The January 2026 investigations of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli capped a wave that has sidelined more than 100 senior officers since 2022, emptying most CMC seats and extending into regional commands, the Rocket Force, and logistics roles. Further signals emerged with the April 2026 probe into former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui and ongoing discipline inspections that filed over one million cases in 2025. Cadre assessment teams scheduled to begin work in summer 2026 ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress heighten scrutiny on remaining military and civilian figures, including potential targets such as Defense Minister Dong Jun and CMC member Zhang Shengmin. Traders view the process as a mechanism for installing loyal personnel rather than isolated scandals, though the specific individuals affected remain difficult to forecast amid broad institutional churn.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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