The Bank of Korea’s July 16, 2026, 25-basis-point hike to 2.75%—its first in three-and-a-half years—shifted focus to incoming data for the August 27 meeting, where trader consensus heavily favors holding the policy rate steady. Elevated inflation near multi-year highs and resilient semiconductor-driven growth support the case for eventual further tightening, yet recent stability in price pressures and the central bank’s emphasis on financial conditions have tempered expectations for an immediate August move. Market-implied odds reflect this cautious stance, pricing in only modest probability of another 25-basis-point hike while assigning negligible weight to cuts. Key upcoming releases on inflation, GDP, and labor market trends will likely determine whether the August decision remains on hold or accelerates the tightening path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of Korea decision in August?
Bank of Korea decision in August?
No Change 76%
25 bps hike 22%
50+ bps hike 2.7%
25 bps cut 2.4%
$19,259 ปริมาณ
$19,259 ปริมาณ
Aug 26, 2026
50+ bps cut
<1%
25 bps cut
2%
No Change
76%
25 bps hike
22%
50+ bps hike
3%
No Change 76%
25 bps hike 22%
50+ bps hike 2.7%
25 bps cut 2.4%
$19,259 ปริมาณ
$19,259 ปริมาณ
Aug 26, 2026
50+ bps cut
$1,884 ปริมาณ
<1%
25 bps cut
$1,181 ปริมาณ
2%
No Change
$10,366 ปริมาณ
76%
25 bps hike
$4,910 ปริมาณ
22%
50+ bps hike
$917 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.The Bank of Korea’s July 16, 2026, 25-basis-point hike to 2.75%—its first in three-and-a-half years—shifted focus to incoming data for the August 27 meeting, where trader consensus heavily favors holding the policy rate steady. Elevated inflation near multi-year highs and resilient semiconductor-driven growth support the case for eventual further tightening, yet recent stability in price pressures and the central bank’s emphasis on financial conditions have tempered expectations for an immediate August move. Market-implied odds reflect this cautious stance, pricing in only modest probability of another 25-basis-point hike while assigning negligible weight to cuts. Key upcoming releases on inflation, GDP, and labor market trends will likely determine whether the August decision remains on hold or accelerates the tightening path.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,259วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.The Bank of Korea’s July 16, 2026, 25-basis-point hike to 2.75%—its first in three-and-a-half years—shifted focus to incoming data for the August 27 meeting, where trader consensus heavily favors holding the policy rate steady. Elevated inflation near multi-year highs and resilient semiconductor-driven growth support the case for eventual further tightening, yet recent stability in price pressures and the central bank’s emphasis on financial conditions have tempered expectations for an immediate August move. Market-implied odds reflect this cautious stance, pricing in only modest probability of another 25-basis-point hike while assigning negligible weight to cuts. Key upcoming releases on inflation, GDP, and labor market trends will likely determine whether the August decision remains on hold or accelerates the tightening path.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,259วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s July 16, 2026, 25-basis-point hike to 2.75%—its first in three-and-a-half years—shifted focus to incoming data for the August 27 meeting, where trader consensus heavily favors holding the policy rate steady. Elevated inflation near multi-year highs and resilient semiconductor-driven growth support the case for eventual further tightening, yet recent stability in price pressures and the central bank’s emphasis on financial conditions have tempered expectations for an immediate August move. Market-implied odds reflect this cautious stance, pricing in only modest probability of another 25-basis-point hike while assigning negligible weight to cuts. Key upcoming releases on inflation, GDP, and labor market trends will likely determine whether the August decision remains on hold or accelerates the tightening path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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