Trader consensus on "Nothing" at 83.5% for the May resolution reflects the absence of triggering events in active geopolitical and policy areas through late May 2026. No Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement has emerged amid ongoing talks, the Federal Reserve has held rates steady without cuts, and neither India-Pakistan nor major new Israel or U.S. military actions against Iran have materialized despite continued Hormuz tensions and fragile ceasefire diplomacy. Scheduled elections in Colombia and routine diplomatic summits have not produced outcomes that meet resolution criteria. With only days remaining before the May 31 deadline, the lack of verified escalations or breakthroughs in these domains sustains the elevated probability for no qualifying developments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNothing Ever Happens: May
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Nothing
$107,159 Wol.
$107,159 Wol.
May 31, 2026
Nothing
$107,159 Wol.
$107,159 Wol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTrader consensus on "Nothing" at 83.5% for the May resolution reflects the absence of triggering events in active geopolitical and policy areas through late May 2026. No Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement has emerged amid ongoing talks, the Federal Reserve has held rates steady without cuts, and neither India-Pakistan nor major new Israel or U.S. military actions against Iran have materialized despite continued Hormuz tensions and fragile ceasefire diplomacy. Scheduled elections in Colombia and routine diplomatic summits have not produced outcomes that meet resolution criteria. With only days remaining before the May 31 deadline, the lack of verified escalations or breakthroughs in these domains sustains the elevated probability for no qualifying developments.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$107,159Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTrader consensus on "Nothing" at 83.5% for the May resolution reflects the absence of triggering events in active geopolitical and policy areas through late May 2026. No Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement has emerged amid ongoing talks, the Federal Reserve has held rates steady without cuts, and neither India-Pakistan nor major new Israel or U.S. military actions against Iran have materialized despite continued Hormuz tensions and fragile ceasefire diplomacy. Scheduled elections in Colombia and routine diplomatic summits have not produced outcomes that meet resolution criteria. With only days remaining before the May 31 deadline, the lack of verified escalations or breakthroughs in these domains sustains the elevated probability for no qualifying developments.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
Wolumen
$107,159Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on "Nothing" at 83.5% for the May resolution reflects the absence of triggering events in active geopolitical and policy areas through late May 2026. No Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement has emerged amid ongoing talks, the Federal Reserve has held rates steady without cuts, and neither India-Pakistan nor major new Israel or U.S. military actions against Iran have materialized despite continued Hormuz tensions and fragile ceasefire diplomacy. Scheduled elections in Colombia and routine diplomatic summits have not produced outcomes that meet resolution criteria. With only days remaining before the May 31 deadline, the lack of verified escalations or breakthroughs in these domains sustains the elevated probability for no qualifying developments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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