Trader consensus prices a 56% chance of a Democratic blue tsunami—substantial House gains to at least 235 seats plus Senate control—in November 2026 midterms, driven by President Trump's approval ratings hitting near-historic lows for midterm presidents amid faltering economy, persistent inflation, a partial government shutdown, and escalating Iran conflict, as shown in polls from the past week. Recent generic congressional ballot surveys, including Emerson's January 48-42 Democratic edge and ongoing NYT tracking, reflect this sentiment, amplified by Democratic wins in 2025-2026 special elections. Historical midterm losses for the president's party provide base rates, though Republicans hold narrow majorities and primaries could shift dynamics before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$23,582 Wol.
$23,582 Wol.
Nov 30, 2026
$23,582 Wol.
$23,582 Wol.
Nov 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdfTrader consensus prices a 56% chance of a Democratic blue tsunami—substantial House gains to at least 235 seats plus Senate control—in November 2026 midterms, driven by President Trump's approval ratings hitting near-historic lows for midterm presidents amid faltering economy, persistent inflation, a partial government shutdown, and escalating Iran conflict, as shown in polls from the past week. Recent generic congressional ballot surveys, including Emerson's January 48-42 Democratic edge and ongoing NYT tracking, reflect this sentiment, amplified by Democratic wins in 2025-2026 special elections. Historical midterm losses for the president's party provide base rates, though Republicans hold narrow majorities and primaries could shift dynamics before election day.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
Rynek otwarty: Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Wolumen
$23,582Data zakończenia
Nov 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdfTrader consensus prices a 56% chance of a Democratic blue tsunami—substantial House gains to at least 235 seats plus Senate control—in November 2026 midterms, driven by President Trump's approval ratings hitting near-historic lows for midterm presidents amid faltering economy, persistent inflation, a partial government shutdown, and escalating Iran conflict, as shown in polls from the past week. Recent generic congressional ballot surveys, including Emerson's January 48-42 Democratic edge and ongoing NYT tracking, reflect this sentiment, amplified by Democratic wins in 2025-2026 special elections. Historical midterm losses for the president's party provide base rates, though Republicans hold narrow majorities and primaries could shift dynamics before election day.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
Wolumen
$23,582Data zakończenia
Nov 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 56% chance of a Democratic blue tsunami—substantial House gains to at least 235 seats plus Senate control—in November 2026 midterms, driven by President Trump's approval ratings hitting near-historic lows for midterm presidents amid faltering economy, persistent inflation, a partial government shutdown, and escalating Iran conflict, as shown in polls from the past week. Recent generic congressional ballot surveys, including Emerson's January 48-42 Democratic edge and ongoing NYT tracking, reflect this sentiment, amplified by Democratic wins in 2025-2026 special elections. Historical midterm losses for the president's party provide base rates, though Republicans hold narrow majorities and primaries could shift dynamics before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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