Aisha Wahab, the endorsed Democratic state senator, holds dominant trader consensus in the CA-14 special primary market ahead of the June 16 top-two contest to fill the East Bay seat vacated by Eric Swalwell. Her position stems from early party support, established fundraising, and name recognition in a district with heavy Democratic registration across Hayward, Fremont, Livermore, and surrounding areas. Other Democratic contenders including Melissa Hernandez and Rakhi Israni Singh trail with limited visibility, while Republican candidates such as Wendy Huang face structural disadvantages in the nonpartisan primary. With voting underway via mail ballots and in-person options, final turnout patterns among core Democratic voters will determine the two advancers to the August 18 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-14 Primary Winners
CA-14 Primary Winners
$5,118 Wol.
Jun 2, 2026
Aisha Wahab
100%
Melissa Hernandez
99%
Suzanne Chenault
2%
Matt Ortega
2%
Carin Elam
2%
Wendy Huang
2%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
1%
Rakhi Israni Singh
<1%
$5,118 Wol.
Aisha Wahab
$612 Wol.
100%
Melissa Hernandez
$528 Wol.
99%
Suzanne Chenault
$140 Wol.
2%
Matt Ortega
$837 Wol.
2%
Carin Elam
$192 Wol.
2%
Wendy Huang
$1,090 Wol.
2%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
$200 Wol.
1%
Rakhi Israni Singh
$1,520 Wol.
<1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Aisha Wahab, the endorsed Democratic state senator, holds dominant trader consensus in the CA-14 special primary market ahead of the June 16 top-two contest to fill the East Bay seat vacated by Eric Swalwell. Her position stems from early party support, established fundraising, and name recognition in a district with heavy Democratic registration across Hayward, Fremont, Livermore, and surrounding areas. Other Democratic contenders including Melissa Hernandez and Rakhi Israni Singh trail with limited visibility, while Republican candidates such as Wendy Huang face structural disadvantages in the nonpartisan primary. With voting underway via mail ballots and in-person options, final turnout patterns among core Democratic voters will determine the two advancers to the August 18 general election.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: May 21, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,118Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Aisha Wahab, the endorsed Democratic state senator, holds dominant trader consensus in the CA-14 special primary market ahead of the June 16 top-two contest to fill the East Bay seat vacated by Eric Swalwell. Her position stems from early party support, established fundraising, and name recognition in a district with heavy Democratic registration across Hayward, Fremont, Livermore, and surrounding areas. Other Democratic contenders including Melissa Hernandez and Rakhi Israni Singh trail with limited visibility, while Republican candidates such as Wendy Huang face structural disadvantages in the nonpartisan primary. With voting underway via mail ballots and in-person options, final turnout patterns among core Democratic voters will determine the two advancers to the August 18 general election.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$5,118Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Aisha Wahab, the endorsed Democratic state senator, holds dominant trader consensus in the CA-14 special primary market ahead of the June 16 top-two contest to fill the East Bay seat vacated by Eric Swalwell. Her position stems from early party support, established fundraising, and name recognition in a district with heavy Democratic registration across Hayward, Fremont, Livermore, and surrounding areas. Other Democratic contenders including Melissa Hernandez and Rakhi Israni Singh trail with limited visibility, while Republican candidates such as Wendy Huang face structural disadvantages in the nonpartisan primary. With voting underway via mail ballots and in-person options, final turnout patterns among core Democratic voters will determine the two advancers to the August 18 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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