Trader consensus favors "Nothing" at 59.5% for the March market, driven by the absence of triggering events through March 31 and low odds on the final condition: both James Talarico and John Cornyn emerging as nominees in the Texas U.S. Senate race. Incumbent Cornyn faces a May 26 GOP primary runoff against Ken Paxton, whom a May 5 University of Texas poll shows leading 48%-45%, likely preventing Cornyn's advancement. The Federal Reserve held rates steady at its March 18 meeting, the SAVE Act failed Senate cloture, Iran's regime endured U.S. strikes without collapse, and President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration or Insurrection Act invocation. With primaries as the lone uncertainty, markets reflect political stasis and procedural hurdles shaping probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNothing
$339,618 Wol.
$339,618 Wol.
Mar 31, 2026
Nothing
$339,618 Wol.
$339,618 Wol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus favors "Nothing" at 59.5% for the March market, driven by the absence of triggering events through March 31 and low odds on the final condition: both James Talarico and John Cornyn emerging as nominees in the Texas U.S. Senate race. Incumbent Cornyn faces a May 26 GOP primary runoff against Ken Paxton, whom a May 5 University of Texas poll shows leading 48%-45%, likely preventing Cornyn's advancement. The Federal Reserve held rates steady at its March 18 meeting, the SAVE Act failed Senate cloture, Iran's regime endured U.S. strikes without collapse, and President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration or Insurrection Act invocation. With primaries as the lone uncertainty, markets reflect political stasis and procedural hurdles shaping probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Rynek otwarty: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$339,618Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus favors "Nothing" at 59.5% for the March market, driven by the absence of triggering events through March 31 and low odds on the final condition: both James Talarico and John Cornyn emerging as nominees in the Texas U.S. Senate race. Incumbent Cornyn faces a May 26 GOP primary runoff against Ken Paxton, whom a May 5 University of Texas poll shows leading 48%-45%, likely preventing Cornyn's advancement. The Federal Reserve held rates steady at its March 18 meeting, the SAVE Act failed Senate cloture, Iran's regime endured U.S. strikes without collapse, and President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration or Insurrection Act invocation. With primaries as the lone uncertainty, markets reflect political stasis and procedural hurdles shaping probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Wolumen
$339,618Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "Nothing" at 59.5% for the March market, driven by the absence of triggering events through March 31 and low odds on the final condition: both James Talarico and John Cornyn emerging as nominees in the Texas U.S. Senate race. Incumbent Cornyn faces a May 26 GOP primary runoff against Ken Paxton, whom a May 5 University of Texas poll shows leading 48%-45%, likely preventing Cornyn's advancement. The Federal Reserve held rates steady at its March 18 meeting, the SAVE Act failed Senate cloture, Iran's regime endured U.S. strikes without collapse, and President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration or Insurrection Act invocation. With primaries as the lone uncertainty, markets reflect political stasis and procedural hurdles shaping probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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