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Military Actions

AllIsraelGazaIndia-PakistanIranMilitary ActionsKhameneiSyriaYemenLebanonTurkeyUS-Iran

Military Actions

AllIsraelGazaIndia-PakistanIranMilitary ActionsKhameneiSyriaYemenLebanonTurkeyUS-Iran
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...? card icon

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

April 30

6%

Yes6%No94%

March 31

1%

Yes1%No99%

$712K Vol.

NCAA Tournament

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...? card icon

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

April 30

12%

Yes12%No88%

March 31

2%

Yes2%No98%

$883K Vol.

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...? card icon

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

April 30

10%

Yes10%No90%

March 31

2%

Yes2%No98%

$829K Vol.

Will Russia invade another country in 2026? card icon

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

14%

chance

Yes

No

$50K Vol.

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...? card icon

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

June 30

9%

Yes9%No91%

March 31

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

$1M Vol.

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...? card icon

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

June 30

5%

Yes5%No95%

March 31

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

$57K Vol.

Ukraine hits Moscow by...? card icon

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?

April 30

21%

Yes21%No79%

April 15

21%

Yes21%No79%

$137K Vol.

Monthly
Thailand strikes Cambodia by...? card icon

Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?

23%

chance

Yes

No

$60K Vol.

Daily
US x Russia military clash by...? card icon

US x Russia military clash by...?

December 31, 2026

10%

Yes10%No90%

June 30, 2026

5%

Yes5%No95%

$577K Vol.

All

304

Israel

92

Gaza

16

India-Pakistan

2

Iran

134

Military Actions

9

Khamenei

10

Syria

7

Yemen

9

Lebanon

17

Turkey

5

US-Iran

3

Military Actions

Military Actions

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...? card icon

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

April 30

6%

Yes6%No94%

March 31

1%

Yes1%No99%

$712K Vol.

NCAA Tournament

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...? card icon

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

April 30

12%

Yes12%No88%

March 31

2%

Yes2%No98%

$883K Vol.

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...? card icon

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

April 30

10%

Yes10%No90%

March 31

2%

Yes2%No98%

$829K Vol.

Will Russia invade another country in 2026? card icon

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

14%

chance

Yes

No

$50K Vol.

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...? card icon

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

June 30

9%

Yes9%No91%

March 31

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

$1M Vol.

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...? card icon

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

June 30

5%

Yes5%No95%

March 31

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

$57K Vol.

Ukraine hits Moscow by...? card icon

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?

April 30

21%

Yes21%No79%

April 15

21%

Yes21%No79%

$137K Vol.

Monthly
Thailand strikes Cambodia by...? card icon

Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?

23%

chance

Yes

No

$60K Vol.

Daily
US x Russia military clash by...? card icon

US x Russia military clash by...?

December 31, 2026

10%

Yes10%No90%

June 30, 2026

5%

Yes5%No95%

$577K Vol.

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