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Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?

Market icon

Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin remains the President of Russia without interruption from February 28, 2022, through January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Russia, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/russia/#government. It will be checked daily at 12:00 PM ET until the resolution date to see if Vladimir Putin is still the President of Russia.

If the Russian Federation is dissolved or otherwise ceases to exist before the resolution date of this market, or if the President of Russia position is otherwise eliminated, the market will resolve as “No”.

If the CIA World Factbook page for Russia is unavailable on the resolution time, it will be checked at 12:00 PM ET every day for the 7 days following resolution time. If the CIA World Factbook is still unavailable at that time, the UN sourcehttps://www.un.org/dgacm/sites/www.un.org.dgacm/files/Documents_Protocol/hspmfmlist.pdf will be used instead.
Volume
$378,253
End Date
Jan 1, 2023
Market Opened
Feb 28, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin remains the President of Russia without interruption from February 28, 2022, through January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Russia, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/russia/#government. It will be checked daily at 12:00 PM ET until the resolution date to see if Vladimir Putin is still the President of Russia. If the Russian Federation is dissolved or otherwise ceases to exist before the resolution date of this market, or if the President of Russia position is otherwise eliminated, the market will resolve as “No”. If the CIA World Factbook page for Russia is unavailable on the resolution time, it will be checked at 12:00 PM ET every day for the 7 days following resolution time. If the CIA World Factbook is still unavailable at that time, the UN sourcehttps://www.un.org/dgacm/sites/www.un.org.dgacm/files/Documents_Protocol/hspmfmlist.pdf will be used instead.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin remains the President of Russia without interruption from February 28, 2022, through January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Russia, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/russia/#government. It will be checked daily at 12:00 PM ET until the resolution date to see if Vladimir Putin is still the President of Russia.

If the Russian Federation is dissolved or otherwise ceases to exist before the resolution date of this market, or if the President of Russia position is otherwise eliminated, the market will resolve as “No”.

If the CIA World Factbook page for Russia is unavailable on the resolution time, it will be checked at 12:00 PM ET every day for the 7 days following resolution time. If the CIA World Factbook is still unavailable at that time, the UN sourcehttps://www.un.org/dgacm/sites/www.un.org.dgacm/files/Documents_Protocol/hspmfmlist.pdf will be used instead.
Volume
$378,253
End Date
Jan 1, 2023
Market Opened
Feb 28, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin remains the President of Russia without interruption from February 28, 2022, through January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Russia, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/russia/#government. It will be checked daily at 12:00 PM ET until the resolution date to see if Vladimir Putin is still the President of Russia. If the Russian Federation is dissolved or otherwise ceases to exist before the resolution date of this market, or if the President of Russia position is otherwise eliminated, the market will resolve as “No”. If the CIA World Factbook page for Russia is unavailable on the resolution time, it will be checked at 12:00 PM ET every day for the 7 days following resolution time. If the CIA World Factbook is still unavailable at that time, the UN sourcehttps://www.un.org/dgacm/sites/www.un.org.dgacm/files/Documents_Protocol/hspmfmlist.pdf will be used instead.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?" has generated $378.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 1, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.