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Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

$115,188 Vol.

9% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$115,188
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Jan 4, 2026, 8:24 PM UTC
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$115,188 Vol.

Market icon

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

9% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$115,188
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Jan 4, 2026, 8:24 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.