How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

<$100b 44.9%

$200–500b 29%

$100–200b 22%

$500b–1t 1.4%

$2,676,256 Vol

Feb 28, 2026

<$100b
$737,480 Vol.
45%

$100–200b
$775,798 Vol.
22%

$200–500b
$436,830 Vol.
29%

$500b–1t
$314,936 Vol.
1%

$1–2t
$219,661 Vol.
<1%

$2t+
$191,552 Vol.
1%

Rules

The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).

This market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/)

If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.

Created At: Apr 15, 2025, 6:26 PM ET

Volume

$2,676,256

End Date

Feb 28, 2026

Created At

Apr 15, 2025, 6:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

<$100b 44.9%

$200–500b 29%

$100–200b 22%

$500b–1t 1.4%

$2,676,256 Vol

Feb 28, 2026

<$100b

$737,480 Vol.

45%

$100–200b

$775,798 Vol.

22%

$200–500b

$436,830 Vol.

29%

$500b–1t

$314,936 Vol.

$1–2t

$219,661 Vol.

<1%

$2t+

$191,552 Vol.

About

Volume

$2,676,256

End Date

Feb 28, 2026

Created At

Apr 15, 2025, 6:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

<$100b
$737,480 Vol.
45%

$100–200b
$775,798 Vol.
22%

$200–500b
$436,830 Vol.
29%

$500b–1t
$314,936 Vol.
1%

$1–2t
$219,661 Vol.
<1%

$2t+
$191,552 Vol.
1%

Market Context