Rory McIlroy captured his second consecutive Masters title at Augusta National, finishing at 12-under par after a steady final-round 71 to edge Scottie Scheffler by one stroke, with Tyrrell Hatton, Russell Henley, and others tied for third at 10-under. As the defending champion entering with strong course history and momentum from recent PGA Tour wins, McIlroy built an early six-shot lead after 36 holes before holding off late charges, including Cameron Young's third-round tie at 11-under. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects his confirmed victory on the leaderboard, sealed by a clutch par save on 18 amid firm greens and typical Sunday pressure. No realistic challenges remain post-tournament, though pre-final round volatility from weather delays and contender surges had briefly tightened odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRory McIlroy 100.0%
Xander Schauffele <1%
Joaquin Niemann <1%
Sungjae Im <1%
$126,018,047 Vol.
$126,018,047 Vol.
Xander Schauffele
No
Joaquin Niemann
No
Sungjae Im
No
Akshay Bhatia
No
Tom Kim
No
Cameron Young
No
Billy Horschel
No
Brian Harman
No
Rasmus Hojgaard
No
Si Woo Kim
No
Harris English
No
Ben Griffin
No
Harry Hall
No
Ludvig Aberg
No
Tyrrell Hatton
No
Robert MacIntyre
No
Russell Henley
No
Justin Thomas
No
Cameron Smith
No
Corey Conners
No
Wyndham Clark
No
Keegan Bradley
No
Phil Mickelson
No
Byeong Hun An
No
Charl Schwartzel
No
Fred Couples
No
J. J. Spaun
No
Gary Woodland
No
Ryan Fox
No
Sam Stevens
No
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
No
Michael Kim
No
Viktor Hovland
No
Will Zalatoris
No
Justin Rose
No
Sepp Straka
No
Sam Burns
No
Aaron Rai
No
Tiger Woods
No
Zach Johnson
No
Jacob Bridgeman
No
Marco Penge
No
Casey Jarvis
No
Johnny Keefer
No
Scottie Scheffler
No
Brooks Koepka
No
Tommy Fleetwood
No
Jason Day
No
Tony Finau
No
Matt Fitzpatrick
No
Maverick McNealy
No
Nicolai Hojgaard
No
Bubba Watson
No
Aldrich Potgieter
No
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
No
Max Greyserman
No
Nick Taylor
No
Nicolas Echavarria
No
Rory McIlroy
Yes
Hideki Matsuyama
No
Shane Lowry
No
Max Homa
No
Dustin Johnson
No
Adam Scott
No
Denny McCarthy
No
Taylor Pendrith
No
Matt McCarty
No
Ryan Gerard
No
Tom McKibbin
No
Bryson Dechambeau
No
Jordan Spieth
No
Jon Rahm
No
Collin Morikawa
No
Patrick Cantlay
No
Patrick Reed
No
Min Woo Lee
No
Sahith Theegala
No
Davis Thompson
No
Sergio Garcia
No
Thomas Detry
No
Danny Willett
No
Chris Gotterup
No
Daniel Berger
No
Hao-Tong Li
No
Andrew Novak
No
Michael Brennan
No
Kristoffer Reitan
No
Davis Riley
No
Alexander Noren
No
Brian Campbell
No
Ethan Fang
No
Pongsapak Laopakdee
No
Naoyuki Kataoka
No
Jake Knapp
No
Rory McIlroy 100.0%
Xander Schauffele <1%
Joaquin Niemann <1%
Sungjae Im <1%
$126,018,047 Vol.
$126,018,047 Vol.
Xander Schauffele
No
Joaquin Niemann
No
Sungjae Im
No
Akshay Bhatia
No
Tom Kim
No
Cameron Young
No
Billy Horschel
No
Brian Harman
No
Rasmus Hojgaard
No
Si Woo Kim
No
Harris English
No
Ben Griffin
No
Harry Hall
No
Ludvig Aberg
No
Tyrrell Hatton
No
Robert MacIntyre
No
Russell Henley
No
Justin Thomas
No
Cameron Smith
No
Corey Conners
No
Wyndham Clark
No
Keegan Bradley
No
Phil Mickelson
No
Byeong Hun An
No
Charl Schwartzel
No
Fred Couples
No
J. J. Spaun
No
Gary Woodland
No
Ryan Fox
No
Sam Stevens
No
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
No
Michael Kim
No
Viktor Hovland
No
Will Zalatoris
No
Justin Rose
No
Sepp Straka
No
Sam Burns
No
Aaron Rai
No
Tiger Woods
No
Zach Johnson
No
Jacob Bridgeman
No
Marco Penge
No
Casey Jarvis
No
Johnny Keefer
No
Scottie Scheffler
No
Brooks Koepka
No
Tommy Fleetwood
No
Jason Day
No
Tony Finau
No
Matt Fitzpatrick
No
Maverick McNealy
No
Nicolai Hojgaard
No
Bubba Watson
No
Aldrich Potgieter
No
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
No
Max Greyserman
No
Nick Taylor
No
Nicolas Echavarria
No
Rory McIlroy
Yes
Hideki Matsuyama
No
Shane Lowry
No
Max Homa
No
Dustin Johnson
No
Adam Scott
No
Denny McCarthy
No
Taylor Pendrith
No
Matt McCarty
No
Ryan Gerard
No
Tom McKibbin
No
Bryson Dechambeau
No
Jordan Spieth
No
Jon Rahm
No
Collin Morikawa
No
Patrick Cantlay
No
Patrick Reed
No
Min Woo Lee
No
Sahith Theegala
No
Davis Thompson
No
Sergio Garcia
No
Thomas Detry
No
Danny Willett
No
Chris Gotterup
No
Daniel Berger
No
Hao-Tong Li
No
Andrew Novak
No
Michael Brennan
No
Kristoffer Reitan
No
Davis Riley
No
Alexander Noren
No
Brian Campbell
No
Ethan Fang
No
Pongsapak Laopakdee
No
Naoyuki Kataoka
No
Jake Knapp
No
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Rory McIlroy captured his second consecutive Masters title at Augusta National, finishing at 12-under par after a steady final-round 71 to edge Scottie Scheffler by one stroke, with Tyrrell Hatton, Russell Henley, and others tied for third at 10-under. As the defending champion entering with strong course history and momentum from recent PGA Tour wins, McIlroy built an early six-shot lead after 36 holes before holding off late charges, including Cameron Young's third-round tie at 11-under. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects his confirmed victory on the leaderboard, sealed by a clutch par save on 18 amid firm greens and typical Sunday pressure. No realistic challenges remain post-tournament, though pre-final round volatility from weather delays and contender surges had briefly tightened odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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