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Politics·Leavitt

What will Marco Rubio say during the next White House press briefing?

icon for What will Marco Rubio say during the next White House press briefing?
Politics·Leavitt

What will Marco Rubio say during the next White House press briefing?

Ended: May 5

Ended: May 5

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$70,761 Vol.

May 5, 2026
Polymarket

$70,761 Vol.

Polymarket

President / Trump 30+ times

$2,097 Vol.

Yes

President / Trump 10+ times

$10,249 Vol.

Yes

Thing 7+ times

$480 Vol.

Yes

Regime / Administration 5+ times

$10,694 Vol.

Yes

Argue / Speculate 5+ times

$455 Vol.

No

Democrat 5+ times

$895 Vol.

No

War / Iran 3+ times

$150 Vol.

Yes

House / Senate

$402 Vol.

Yes

Filibuster

$944 Vol.

No

Interview

$425 Vol.

No

China / Xi

$1,173 Vol.

Yes

Israel / Israeli

$508 Vol.

Yes

Radical / Clerical

$2,197 Vol.

Yes

Diplomacy

$14,053 Vol.

Yes

Soviet Union

$415 Vol.

No

Cuba / Havana

$2,209 Vol.

Yes

Baby / Wedding

$491 Vol.

No

Blockade / Embargo

$15 Vol.

Yes

Venezuela / Maduro

$3,731 Vol.

Yes

Fuck Around / Find out / FAFO

$16 Vol.

No

Ballroom

$90 Vol.

No

Pope / Vatican

$48 Vol.

Yes

NATO

$356 Vol.

No

EU / Europe

$9,727 Vol.

Yes

Pentagon

$768 Vol.

No

To the Table

$1,866 Vol.

No

Congress

$5,582 Vol.

Yes

Nuclear / Ballistic

$48 Vol.

Yes

-No Qualifying Event-

$676 Vol.

No

Marco Rubio is scheduled to participate in a press briefing on May 5, 2026, 3PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Rubio says the listed term during the press briefing scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Rubio is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the event titled "Press Briefing by the Secretary of State Marco Rubio" scheduled for May 5, 2026, 3PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.Secretary of State Marco Rubio is filling in at the White House press briefing podium while Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt remains on maternity leave, with his May 5 session addressing Iran tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, NATO basing rights disputes, and countering Russia, China, and Iran destabilization efforts in the Western Hemisphere. Traders price outcomes based on Rubio's hawkish foreign policy stance, recent warnings to Iran's "insane" leadership, and preparations for his upcoming Italy-Vatican trip amid escalating diplomatic pressures. Consensus reflects expectations of continuity in Trump administration priorities like hemispheric security and alliance reevaluations, though unscheduled questions could introduce variability before resolution upon the next confirmed briefing.

Marco Rubio is scheduled to participate in a press briefing on May 5, 2026, 3PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Rubio says the listed term during the press briefing scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Rubio is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market is explicitly about the event titled "Press Briefing by the Secretary of State Marco Rubio" scheduled for May 5, 2026, 3PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$70,761
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Marco Rubio is scheduled to participate in a press briefing on May 5, 2026, 3PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Rubio says the listed term during the press briefing scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Rubio is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the event titled "Press Briefing by the Secretary of State Marco Rubio" scheduled for May 5, 2026, 3PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Marco Rubio is scheduled to participate in a press briefing on May 5, 2026, 3PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Rubio says the listed term during the press briefing scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Rubio is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the event titled "Press Briefing by the Secretary of State Marco Rubio" scheduled for May 5, 2026, 3PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.Secretary of State Marco Rubio is filling in at the White House press briefing podium while Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt remains on maternity leave, with his May 5 session addressing Iran tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, NATO basing rights disputes, and countering Russia, China, and Iran destabilization efforts in the Western Hemisphere. Traders price outcomes based on Rubio's hawkish foreign policy stance, recent warnings to Iran's "insane" leadership, and preparations for his upcoming Italy-Vatican trip amid escalating diplomatic pressures. Consensus reflects expectations of continuity in Trump administration priorities like hemispheric security and alliance reevaluations, though unscheduled questions could introduce variability before resolution upon the next confirmed briefing.

Marco Rubio is scheduled to participate in a press briefing on May 5, 2026, 3PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Rubio says the listed term during the press briefing scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Rubio is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market is explicitly about the event titled "Press Briefing by the Secretary of State Marco Rubio" scheduled for May 5, 2026, 3PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$70,761
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Marco Rubio is scheduled to participate in a press briefing on May 5, 2026, 3PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Rubio says the listed term during the press briefing scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Rubio is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the event titled "Press Briefing by the Secretary of State Marco Rubio" scheduled for May 5, 2026, 3PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Marco Rubio say during the next White House press briefing?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "President / Trump 30+ times" at 100%, followed by "President / Trump 10+ times" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Marco Rubio say during the next White House press briefing?" has generated $70.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Marco Rubio say during the next White House press briefing?," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Marco Rubio say during the next White House press briefing?" is "President / Trump 30+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "President / Trump 10+ times" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Marco Rubio say during the next White House press briefing?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.