Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 15.5% implied probability stems from his unmatched Augusta history—two green jackets, top par-5 scoring, and elite irons/scrambling—bolstered by his recent withdrawal from the Houston Open for family reasons (second child's birth imminent), granting extra rest before the April 9 start. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) surges on scorching LIV form with back-to-back wins, while Jon Rahm (7.2%) leverages his 2023 victory and LIV consistency despite limited PGA tune-ups. Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the 2025 defending champion after completing his career Grand Slam, eyes a repeat amid steady top-10s here. Ludvig Aberg (5.3%) and Matt Fitzpatrick (5.1%) gain from recent PGA momentum in a deep, competitive field rewarding course fit over raw distance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.3%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$60,915,444 Vol.
$60,915,444 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Jordan Spieth
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Max Homa
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.3%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$60,915,444 Vol.
$60,915,444 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Jordan Spieth
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Max Homa
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 15.5% implied probability stems from his unmatched Augusta history—two green jackets, top par-5 scoring, and elite irons/scrambling—bolstered by his recent withdrawal from the Houston Open for family reasons (second child's birth imminent), granting extra rest before the April 9 start. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) surges on scorching LIV form with back-to-back wins, while Jon Rahm (7.2%) leverages his 2023 victory and LIV consistency despite limited PGA tune-ups. Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the 2025 defending champion after completing his career Grand Slam, eyes a repeat amid steady top-10s here. Ludvig Aberg (5.3%) and Matt Fitzpatrick (5.1%) gain from recent PGA momentum in a deep, competitive field rewarding course fit over raw distance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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