Who makes TIME’s 2025 Person of the Year Shortlist?

$1,211,494 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Pope Leo XIV
$330,153 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

Bad Bunny
$21,929 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Donald Trump
$280,898 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Jensen Huang
$76,467 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Sam Altman
$25,069 Vol.
9%
0123456789
%

AI
$104,663 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Zohran Mamdani
$46,425 Vol.
6%
0123456789
%

Benjamin Netanyahu
$53,276 Vol.
5%
0123456789
%

Jerome Powell
$15,233 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Elon Musk
$15,799 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Kendrick Lamar
$2,713 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
$4,762 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

Xi Jinping
$16,493 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

JD Vance
$5,791 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Vladimir Putin
$8,161 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

María Corina Machado
$15,300 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Ursula von der Leyen
$3,310 Vol.
1%

Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo
$5,842 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Charlie Kirk
$45,138 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$3,550 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Javier Milei
$2,094 Vol.
<1%

Demis Hassabis
$2,011 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Geoffrey Hinton
$10,755 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Dario Amodei
$14,481 Vol.
5%
0123456789
%

Sanae Takaichi
$5,103 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

ChatGPT
$15,310 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Christine Lagarde
$2,047 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Maggie Kang
$14,309 Vol.
<1%

Sundar Pichai
$9,354 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

Mustafa Suleyman
$14,125 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Shohei Ohtani
$18,884 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Giorgia Meloni
$4,928 Vol.
1%

Ariana Grande
$17,122 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed.

If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”.

The resolution source is official information from Time.

Created At: Dec 5, 2025, 11:09 PM UTC

Volume

$1,211,494

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Created At

Dec 5, 2025, 11:09 PM UTC

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposal

Final dispute

Final

Beware of external links.

$1,211,494 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025

Who makes TIME’s 2025 Person of the Year Shortlist?

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Pope Leo XIV

$330,153 Vol.

Bad Bunny

$21,929 Vol.

Donald Trump

$280,898 Vol.

Jensen Huang

$76,467 Vol.

Sam Altman

$25,069 Vol.

$104,663 Vol.

Zohran Mamdani

$46,425 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$53,276 Vol.

Jerome Powell

$15,233 Vol.

Elon Musk

$15,799 Vol.

Kendrick Lamar

$2,713 Vol.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$4,762 Vol.

Xi Jinping

$16,493 Vol.

JD Vance

$5,791 Vol.

Vladimir Putin

$8,161 Vol.

María Corina Machado

$15,300 Vol.

Ursula von der Leyen

$3,310 Vol.

Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo

$5,842 Vol.

Charlie Kirk

$45,138 Vol.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$3,550 Vol.

Javier Milei

$2,094 Vol.

<1%

Demis Hassabis

$2,011 Vol.

Geoffrey Hinton

$10,755 Vol.

<1%

Dario Amodei

$14,481 Vol.

Sanae Takaichi

$5,103 Vol.

ChatGPT

$15,310 Vol.

Christine Lagarde

$2,047 Vol.

Maggie Kang

$14,309 Vol.

<1%

Sundar Pichai

$9,354 Vol.

Mustafa Suleyman

$14,125 Vol.

Shohei Ohtani

$18,884 Vol.

Giorgia Meloni

$4,928 Vol.

Ariana Grande

$17,122 Vol.

About

Volume

$1,211,494

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Created At

Dec 5, 2025, 11:09 PM UTC

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

27%

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?

74%

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?

Beware of external links.

Who makes TIME’s 2025 Person of the Year Shortlist?

Pope Leo XIV$330,153 Vol.4%0123456789%buy Yes4.9¢buy No96.6¢

Bad Bunny$21,929 Vol.2%0123456789%buy Yes2.1¢buy No98.4¢

Donald Trump$280,898 Vol.3%0123456789%buy Yes3.1¢buy No97.1¢

Jensen Huang$76,467 Vol.2%0123456789%buy Yes1.9¢buy No98.2¢

Sam Altman$25,069 Vol.9%0123456789%buy Yes15.0¢buy No97.8¢

AI$104,663 Vol.2%0123456789%buy Yes2.0¢buy No98.4¢

Zohran Mamdani$46,425 Vol.6%0123456789%buy Yes10.0¢buy No97.2¢

Benjamin Netanyahu$53,276 Vol.5%0123456789%buy Yes8.0¢buy No98.6¢

Jerome Powell$15,233 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes1.6¢buy No99.3¢

Elon Musk$15,799 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.9¢buy No99.4¢

Kendrick Lamar$2,713 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes1.8¢buy No99.3¢

Volodymyr Zelenskyy$4,762 Vol.4%0123456789%buy Yes7.0¢buy No98.7¢

Xi Jinping$16,493 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.9¢buy No99.5¢

JD Vance$5,791 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes1.4¢buy No99.0¢

Vladimir Putin$8,161 Vol.2%0123456789%buy Yes2.8¢buy No99.4¢

María Corina Machado$15,300 Vol.2%0123456789%buy Yes3.5¢buy No98.9¢

Ursula von der Leyen$3,310 Vol.1%buy Yes0.9¢buy No99.4¢

Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo$5,842 Vol.2%0123456789%buy Yes3.7¢buy No98.9¢

Charlie Kirk$45,138 Vol.3%0123456789%buy Yes4.6¢buy No98.8¢

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.$3,550 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.8¢buy No99.6¢

Javier Milei$2,094 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.8¢

Demis Hassabis$2,011 Vol.2%0123456789%buy Yes3.1¢buy No99.6¢

Geoffrey Hinton$10,755 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.8¢

Dario Amodei$14,481 Vol.5%0123456789%buy Yes9.0¢buy No98.7¢

Sanae Takaichi$5,103 Vol.3%0123456789%buy Yes4.3¢buy No98.8¢

ChatGPT$15,310 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes1.9¢buy No99.0¢

Christine Lagarde$2,047 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes1.7¢buy No99.4¢

Maggie Kang$14,309 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.4¢buy No99.9¢

Sundar Pichai$9,354 Vol.4%0123456789%buy Yes6.0¢buy No98.4¢

Mustafa Suleyman$14,125 Vol.3%0123456789%buy Yes4.8¢buy No98.9¢

Shohei Ohtani$18,884 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes1.7¢buy No99.4¢

Giorgia Meloni$4,928 Vol.1%buy Yes0.9¢buy No99.6¢

Ariana Grande$17,122 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.7¢buy No99.6¢

Market Context