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2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner

Market icon

2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner

Sam Soverel 100.0%

Michael Mizrachi <1%

Esther Taylor <1%

Jason Koon <1%

Polymarket

$235,976,212 Vol.

Sam Soverel 100.0%

Michael Mizrachi <1%

Esther Taylor <1%

Jason Koon <1%

Polymarket

$235,976,212 Vol.

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Michael Mizrachi

$2,146,039 Vol.

No

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Esther Taylor

$320,587 Vol.

No

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Jason Koon

$1,966,856 Vol.

No

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Liv Boeree

$401,987 Vol.

No

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Bryce Hall

$253,204 Vol.

No

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Richard Seymour

$288,733 Vol.

No

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Chris Moneymaker

$7,508,483 Vol.

No

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Kevin Pollak

$1,387,710 Vol.

No

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Erik Seidel

$3,697,235 Vol.

No

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Doug Polk

$638,180 Vol.

No

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Brian Rast

$3,306,179 Vol.

No

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Phil Galfond

$391,020 Vol.

No

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Shaun Deeb

$335,508 Vol.

No

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Nick Wright

$217,957 Vol.

No

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Sam Soverel

$954,091 Vol.

Yes

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T.J. Lavin

$15,113,495 Vol.

No

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Jonathan Jaffe

$406,455 Vol.

No

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Rob Riggle

$38,337,949 Vol.

No

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Sean Winter

$942,165 Vol.

No

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Rob 'Boston Rob' Mariano

$3,466,853 Vol.

No

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Alan Keating

$482,982 Vol.

No

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Chef Phillip (Phillip Frankland Lee)

$22,533,633 Vol.

No

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Tyler Montoya

$4,275,233 Vol.

No

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Bryn Kenney

$6,288,740 Vol.

No

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Erick Lindgren

$14,836,968 Vol.

No

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Andrew Robl

$312,981 Vol.

No

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Keith Lehr

$1,649,020 Vol.

No

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Mike Matusow

$3,988,546 Vol.

No

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Jason Calacanis

$6,989,151 Vol.

No

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Cary Katz

$1,269,337 Vol.

No

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Josh Arieh

$10,066,191 Vol.

No

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Victoria Livschitz

$1,522,200 Vol.

No

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David Williams

$26,661,572 Vol.

No

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Dan 'Jungleman' Cates

$368,778 Vol.

No

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Charlie Hook

$254,424 Vol.

No

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Matthew Honig 'Hanks'

$273,987 Vol.

No

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Xuan Liu

$233,446 Vol.

No

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Igor Kurganov

$313,593 Vol.

No

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Brazil God

$194,710 Vol.

No

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Frank Brannan

$199,781 Vol.

No

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Phil Laak

$2,139,081 Vol.

No

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Garrett Adelstein

$400,349 Vol.

No

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Ren Lin

$270,813 Vol.

No

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Justin Gavri

$1,219,440 Vol.

No

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Matt Salsberg

$211,028 Vol.

No

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John Smith

$2,492,192 Vol.

No

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Johnnie Vibes

$183,701 Vol.

No

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Stephen Chidwick

$345,315 Vol.

No

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Scott Seiver

$13,158,088 Vol.

No

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Frank Crivello

$11,898,449 Vol.

No

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Vinny Lingham

$196,126 Vol.

No

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Jesse Lonis

$235,405 Vol.

No

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Kristen Foxen

$752,676 Vol.

No

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Matt Berkey

$1,270,148 Vol.

No

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Jasper

$200,042 Vol.

No

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Marius Gierse

$254,124 Vol.

No

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Dylan Flashner

$297,426 Vol.

No

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Kasey Lyn Mills

$192,425 Vol.

No

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Maria Konnikova

$188,838 Vol.

No

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Nacho Barbero

$1,182,430 Vol.

No

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Justin Young

$6,324,028 Vol.

No

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Ryan Feldman

$2,151,301 Vol.

No

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Chino Rheem

$2,065,993 Vol.

No

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3 Coin

$3,550,835 Vol.

No

The 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship will premiere on Peacock this fall (https://www.pokernews.com/news/2025/07/national-heads-up-poker-championship-return-49301.htm). This market predicts which player will win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player wins the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 pm ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the final players agree to a prize‑money chop, this market will resolve based on the player who is awarded the official tournament trophy.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Peacock, along with streaming coverage on PokerGO and PokerStars. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$235,976,212
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Aug 3, 2025, 12:38 PM ET
The 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship will premiere on Peacock this fall (https://www.pokernews.com/news/2025/07/national-heads-up-poker-championship-return-49301.htm). This market predicts which player will win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player wins the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 pm ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final players agree to a prize‑money chop, this market will resolve based on the player who is awarded the official tournament trophy. The primary resolution source for this market will be Peacock, along with streaming coverage on PokerGO and PokerStars. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 64+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sam Soverel" at 100%, followed by "Michael Mizrachi" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner" has generated $236 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 3, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner," browse the 64+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner" is "Sam Soverel" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michael Mizrachi" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.