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Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Market icon
Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Inter Miami CF 16%

Los Angeles FC 14%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 9.1%

San Diego FC 5.2%

Polymarket

$15,251,378 Vol.

Inter Miami CF 16%

Los Angeles FC 14%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 9.1%

San Diego FC 5.2%

Polymarket

$15,251,378 Vol.

Inter Miami CF

$11,531 Vol.

16%

Los Angeles FC

$15,991 Vol.

14%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

$351,127 Vol.

9%

San Diego FC

$1,197,096 Vol.

5%

Nashville SC

$261,741 Vol.

5%

New York City FC

$510,050 Vol.

5%

Seattle Sounders FC

$745,027 Vol.

4%

FC Cincinnati

$1,488,724 Vol.

4%

Toronto FC

$25,315 Vol.

3%

San Jose Earthquakes

$1,048,870 Vol.

3%

New York Red Bulls

$79,528 Vol.

3%

Chicago Fire FC

$84,928 Vol.

3%

Columbus Crew

$2,864,371 Vol.

3%

Charlotte FC

$1,607,067 Vol.

2%

LA Galaxy

$10,387 Vol.

2%

Philadelphia Union

$58,135 Vol.

2%

Real Salt Lake

$2,509,606 Vol.

2%

Houston Dynamo FC

$70,458 Vol.

2%

Orlando City SC

$1,830,768 Vol.

2%

Minnesota United FC

$85,367 Vol.

2%

Atlanta United FC

$41,500 Vol.

1%

Austin FC

$65,129 Vol.

1%

FC Dallas

$48,463 Vol.

1%

Portland Timbers

$57,975 Vol.

1%

St. Louis City SC

$65,165 Vol.

1%

D.C. United

$3,080 Vol.

1%

CF Montréal

$4,920 Vol.

<1%

Colorado Rapids

$96,097 Vol.

<1%

New England Revolution

$3,949 Vol.

<1%

Sporting Kansas City

$9,108 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Inter Miami CF at 15.5% implied probability to win the 2026 MLS Cup, buoyed by Lionel Messi's ongoing creativity despite their middling 3-1-3 Eastern Conference start and leaky defense, closely trailed by Los Angeles FC at 13.5% after a robust 5-1-1 Western run yielding 16 points and stout +13 goal difference. Vancouver Whitecaps' explosive 6-1-0 form—topping the overall table with 18 points and a 3-0 thrashing of Sporting Kansas City on April 18—has surged their odds to 9.1%, reflecting momentum from an unbeaten streak and depth on the wings. Early-season parity across 30 teams, with expansion side San Diego FC at 5.1% amid recent red-card woes, underscores the grueling 34-match regular season and single-elimination MLS Cup Playoffs keeping the race tightly contested among perennial contenders and surprise risers.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,251,378
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Inter Miami CF at 15.5% implied probability to win the 2026 MLS Cup, buoyed by Lionel Messi's ongoing creativity despite their middling 3-1-3 Eastern Conference start and leaky defense, closely trailed by Los Angeles FC at 13.5% after a robust 5-1-1 Western run yielding 16 points and stout +13 goal difference. Vancouver Whitecaps' explosive 6-1-0 form—topping the overall table with 18 points and a 3-0 thrashing of Sporting Kansas City on April 18—has surged their odds to 9.1%, reflecting momentum from an unbeaten streak and depth on the wings. Early-season parity across 30 teams, with expansion side San Diego FC at 5.1% amid recent red-card woes, underscores the grueling 34-match regular season and single-elimination MLS Cup Playoffs keeping the race tightly contested among perennial contenders and surprise risers.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,251,378
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLS Cup Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Inter Miami CF" at 16%, followed by "Los Angeles FC" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLS Cup Winner 2026" has generated $15.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLS Cup Winner 2026," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" is "Inter Miami CF" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Los Angeles FC" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.