Scottie Scheffler tops trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability for the Masters winner at Augusta National, reflecting his unmatched course history—including two prior victories—and elite tee-to-green stats amid a crowded field of 11 strong ball-strikers over the past three months. Bryson DeChambeau's 7.5% share stems from scorching recent form, highlighted by back-to-back LIV Golf triumphs, the latest a playoff win over Jon Rahm in South Africa last weekend that showcases his par-5 power and improving Augusta finishes. Rahm (7.3%) and Rory McIlroy (6.5%) follow closely on consistent major pedigree and LIV/PGA momentum, while Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) and Xander Schauffele (4.9%) gain from recent Players Championship contention and five straight top-10s here, underscoring the competitive depth with no dominant prep event winner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.3%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$60,953,072 Vol.
$60,953,072 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Adam Scott
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Max Homa
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.3%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$60,953,072 Vol.
$60,953,072 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Adam Scott
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Max Homa
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler tops trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability for the Masters winner at Augusta National, reflecting his unmatched course history—including two prior victories—and elite tee-to-green stats amid a crowded field of 11 strong ball-strikers over the past three months. Bryson DeChambeau's 7.5% share stems from scorching recent form, highlighted by back-to-back LIV Golf triumphs, the latest a playoff win over Jon Rahm in South Africa last weekend that showcases his par-5 power and improving Augusta finishes. Rahm (7.3%) and Rory McIlroy (6.5%) follow closely on consistent major pedigree and LIV/PGA momentum, while Ludvig Aberg (5.4%) and Xander Schauffele (4.9%) gain from recent Players Championship contention and five straight top-10s here, underscoring the competitive depth with no dominant prep event winner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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