UEFA Champions League: Team to reach quarter-finals

Sports·Soccer

UEFA Champions League: Team to reach quarter-finals

$339,440 Vol.

Apr 16, 2026

Bayern München

$0 Vol.

Yes

Tottenham Hotspur

$0 Vol.

Sporting CP

$0 Vol.

Yes

Manchester City

$0 Vol.

Arsenal

$0 Vol.

Yes

Barcelona

$0 Vol.

Yes

Newcastle

$0 Vol.

Bodø/Glimt

$0 Vol.

Liverpool

$0 Vol.

Yes

Real Madrid

$339,440 Vol.

Yes

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG)

$0 Vol.

Yes

Galatasaray

$0 Vol.

Chelsea

$0 Vol.

Atlético Madrid

$0 Vol.

Yes

Atalanta

$0 Vol.

Leverkusen

$0 Vol.

$339,440 Vol.

Bayern München

$0 Vol.

Yes

Tottenham Hotspur

$0 Vol.

Sporting CP

$0 Vol.

Yes

Manchester City

$0 Vol.

Arsenal

$0 Vol.

Yes

Barcelona

$0 Vol.

Yes

Newcastle

$0 Vol.

Bodø/Glimt

$0 Vol.

Liverpool

$0 Vol.

Yes

Real Madrid

$339,440 Vol.

Yes

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG)

$0 Vol.

Yes

Galatasaray

$0 Vol.

Chelsea

$0 Vol.

Atlético Madrid

$0 Vol.

Yes

Atalanta

$0 Vol.

Leverkusen

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League quarter-finals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League quarter-finals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Real Madrid and Manchester City lead trader consensus to reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals, with implied probabilities above 90% following their comfortable aggregate wins over RB Leipzig and FC Copenhagen, underscoring squad depth and attacking firepower. Bayern Munich and Arsenal also advanced decisively against Lazio and Porto via penalties, bolstering sentiment amid home-leg dominance. Recent upsets like Atletico Madrid's shootout edge over Inter and Borussia Dortmund's extra-time rally past PSV highlight defensive resilience trumping favorites, while PSG and Barcelona progressed on multi-goal second-leg swings. Key upcoming factors include the March 15 quarter-final draw, potential fatigue from domestic schedules, and injury updates on stars like Haaland and Mbappé, as historical knockout prowess shapes crowd wisdom.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 19, 2026, 12:49 AM UTC

Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

85%

Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?

51%

Will Porto reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?

69%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"UEFA Champions League: Team to reach quarter-finals" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bayern München" at 100%, followed by "Sporting CP" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UEFA Champions League: Team to reach quarter-finals" has generated $339.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UEFA Champions League: Team to reach quarter-finals," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UEFA Champions League: Team to reach quarter-finals" is "Bayern München" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sporting CP" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UEFA Champions League: Team to reach quarter-finals" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "UEFA Champions League: Team to reach quarter-finals." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $339.4K traded on “UEFA Champions League: Team to reach quarter-finals,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "UEFA Champions League: Team to reach quarter-finals," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "Bayern München" in the "UEFA Champions League: Team to reach quarter-finals" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "Bayern München" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "UEFA Champions League: Team to reach quarter-finals" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "UEFA Champions League: Team to reach quarter-finals" market has an active community of 19 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "UEFA Champions League: Team to reach quarter-finals." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

UEFA Champions League: Team to reach quarter-finals

UEFA Champions League: Team to reach quarter-finals

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Comments (19)

Top Holders

Positions

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Frequently Asked Questions

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