This is a market on whether France, Spain, Italy or the United States of America will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on January 12 2022.

This market will resolve on data aggregated by Our World in Data, specifically, the 7-day rolling average of COVID-19 cases for France, Spain, Italy and the USA, with Metric "Confirmed Cases", Interval "7-day rolling average", and the Relative to Population checkbox checked, which is available at https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer. 

This market will resolve to one of the aforementioned countries which, by the resolution source, has reported the highest 7-day case average per capita for January 12. 

The resolution source will be reviewed on January 14 2022 at 8 PM ET and - if the data for January 12 is not be available then - the most recent available data will be used. 

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OWiD dataset uses the most recent official numbers from governments and health ministries worldwide. Population estimates for per-capita metrics are based on the United Nations World Population Prospects. 

Here: https://github.com/owid/covid-19-data/tree/master/public/data one can find a detailed list of all our country-specific sources.

Please note, if the highest averages per capita are the same for more than one country, the winning outcome shares will be valued adequately.

Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on January 12: France, Italy, USA or Spain?

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