Sweden enters as trader consensus slight favorite at 48% implied probability for their home World Cup 2026 play-off final against Poland at Strawberry Arena in Solna, buoyed by Viktor Gyökeres' hat-trick in Thursday's 3-1 semi-final win over Ukraine that propelled their momentum. Hosting provides a clear edge, compounded by Poland's historically poor record on Swedish soil, despite Robert Lewandowski's decisive header securing their 2-1 comeback against Albania. Sweden's injury crisis—Alexander Isak and Dejan Kulusevski sidelined long-term, centre-back Isak Hien withdrawing yesterday, plus doubts over others like Emil Holm—tempers enthusiasm, yet recent form and home support outweigh these for bettors. Poland regains Nicola Zalewski from suspension, keeping the matchup competitive with draw at 28.5% and visitors at 24.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

If Sweden wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 11:46 AM ET
Resolution Source
fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Sweden wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 11:46 AM ET
Resolution Source
fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sweden enters as trader consensus slight favorite at 48% implied probability for their home World Cup 2026 play-off final against Poland at Strawberry Arena in Solna, buoyed by Viktor Gyökeres' hat-trick in Thursday's 3-1 semi-final win over Ukraine that propelled their momentum. Hosting provides a clear edge, compounded by Poland's historically poor record on Swedish soil, despite Robert Lewandowski's decisive header securing their 2-1 comeback against Albania. Sweden's injury crisis—Alexander Isak and Dejan Kulusevski sidelined long-term, centre-back Isak Hien withdrawing yesterday, plus doubts over others like Emil Holm—tempers enthusiasm, yet recent form and home support outweigh these for bettors. Poland regains Nicola Zalewski from suspension, keeping the matchup competitive with draw at 28.5% and visitors at 24.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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