Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on April 16, 2026 (100% implied probability), aligned with the National Environment Agency's (NEA) official 24-hour forecast projecting a daily maximum of 33°C amid light southerly winds (5-15 km/h) and thundery showers targeting northern and western areas in the early afternoon. These inter-monsoon conditions, featuring frequent convective activity from daytime solar heating, have capped peaks after a hotter first half of April where maxima exceeded 34°C on 12 of 15 days (highest 35.4°C on April 5). Cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface insolation, limiting radiative warming in this equatorial climate. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing, allowing sustained high solar input to spike temperatures to 34°C or higher before evening showers—unlikely per current NEA model consensus and observed patterns, with updated observations expected through dusk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on April 16?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 16?
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$119,287 Vol.
$119,287 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$119,287 Vol.
$119,287 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on April 16, 2026 (100% implied probability), aligned with the National Environment Agency's (NEA) official 24-hour forecast projecting a daily maximum of 33°C amid light southerly winds (5-15 km/h) and thundery showers targeting northern and western areas in the early afternoon. These inter-monsoon conditions, featuring frequent convective activity from daytime solar heating, have capped peaks after a hotter first half of April where maxima exceeded 34°C on 12 of 15 days (highest 35.4°C on April 5). Cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface insolation, limiting radiative warming in this equatorial climate. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing, allowing sustained high solar input to spike temperatures to 34°C or higher before evening showers—unlikely per current NEA model consensus and observed patterns, with updated observations expected through dusk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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