Official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's primary monitoring station confirm the daily maximum temperature peaked at 23°C around midday on April 14, amid unseasonably warm southerly winds and a high-pressure ridge fostering above-normal spring conditions—historical April averages hover around 18–20°C. Current readings at 22°C under mostly cloudy skies, combined with waning solar insolation and approaching sunset, preclude further intensification per standard diurnal cycles. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data, with forecast models like ECMWF and GFS aligning on 22–24°C caps. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc quality-control revisions uncovering a higher transient reading, though KMA protocols rarely alter finalized peaks. Final daily report expected post-5 PM KST.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on April 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 14?
23°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$696,642 Vol.
$696,642 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$696,642 Vol.
$696,642 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Seoul's primary monitoring station confirm the daily maximum temperature peaked at 23°C around midday on April 14, amid unseasonably warm southerly winds and a high-pressure ridge fostering above-normal spring conditions—historical April averages hover around 18–20°C. Current readings at 22°C under mostly cloudy skies, combined with waning solar insolation and approaching sunset, preclude further intensification per standard diurnal cycles. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data, with forecast models like ECMWF and GFS aligning on 22–24°C caps. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc quality-control revisions uncovering a higher transient reading, though KMA protocols rarely alter finalized peaks. Final daily report expected post-5 PM KST.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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