Highest temperature in NYC on January 12?
$147,298 Vol.
40-41°F 100.0%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
40-41°F
$24,185 Vol.
100%
40-41°F
$24,185 Vol.
100%
42-43°F
$13,289 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$13,289 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$11,377 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$11,377 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$13,974 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$13,974 Vol.
<1%
48°F or higher
$52,518 Vol.
<1%
48°F or higher
$52,518 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jan '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Created At: Jan 10, 2026, 11:01 AM UTC
Volume
$147,298End Date
Jan 12, 2026Created At
Jan 10, 2026, 11:01 AM UTCResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$147,298 Vol.
Highest temperature in NYC on January 12?
40-41°F 100.0%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
40-41°F
$24,185 Vol.
100%
42-43°F
$13,289 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$11,377 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$13,974 Vol.
<1%
48°F or higher
$52,518 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$147,298End Date
Jan 12, 2026Created At
Jan 10, 2026, 11:01 AM UTCResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.