Take-Two Interactive and Rockstar have repeatedly reaffirmed the November 19, 2026, launch for Grand Theft Auto VI on PS5 and Xbox Series X|S, tying company financial guidance directly to that date in recent earnings calls and shareholder updates. The August Netflix extended look showcased polished gameplay, while pre-orders opened in June at a confirmed $79.99 price point, raising the commercial stakes of any further shift. These commitments, combined with visible development progress, underpin traders’ 94% conviction that another postponement is unlikely. Still, Rockstar’s history of last-minute polish adjustments leaves a narrow window for unexpected technical or content issues to surface before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated6% chance
$812,867 Vol.
$812,867 Vol.
Nov 19, 2026
6% chance
$812,867 Vol.
$812,867 Vol.
Nov 19, 2026
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Take-Two Interactive and Rockstar have repeatedly reaffirmed the November 19, 2026, launch for Grand Theft Auto VI on PS5 and Xbox Series X|S, tying company financial guidance directly to that date in recent earnings calls and shareholder updates. The August Netflix extended look showcased polished gameplay, while pre-orders opened in June at a confirmed $79.99 price point, raising the commercial stakes of any further shift. These commitments, combined with visible development progress, underpin traders’ 94% conviction that another postponement is unlikely. Still, Rockstar’s history of last-minute polish adjustments leaves a narrow window for unexpected technical or content issues to surface before the market resolves.
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ET
Volume
$812,867End Date
Nov 20, 2026Market Opened
Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Take-Two Interactive and Rockstar have repeatedly reaffirmed the November 19, 2026, launch for Grand Theft Auto VI on PS5 and Xbox Series X|S, tying company financial guidance directly to that date in recent earnings calls and shareholder updates. The August Netflix extended look showcased polished gameplay, while pre-orders opened in June at a confirmed $79.99 price point, raising the commercial stakes of any further shift. These commitments, combined with visible development progress, underpin traders’ 94% conviction that another postponement is unlikely. Still, Rockstar’s history of last-minute polish adjustments leaves a narrow window for unexpected technical or content issues to surface before the market resolves.
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 20, 2026Market Opened
Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070be91...Take-Two Interactive and Rockstar have repeatedly reaffirmed the November 19, 2026, launch for Grand Theft Auto VI on PS5 and Xbox Series X|S, tying company financial guidance directly to that date in recent earnings calls and shareholder updates. The August Netflix extended look showcased polished gameplay, while pre-orders opened in June at a confirmed $79.99 price point, raising the commercial stakes of any further shift. These commitments, combined with visible development progress, underpin traders’ 94% conviction that another postponement is unlikely. Still, Rockstar’s history of last-minute polish adjustments leaves a narrow window for unexpected technical or content issues to surface before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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